DeVonta Smith

Things have mostly gone as expected for Smith since the Eagles took him 10th overall in 2021, though he started 2023 slow with averages of 54.7 yards and 7.7 YPT over his first seven games. He then averaged 75.9 yards and 11.0 YPT over the next nine games (with a 79 percent catch rate) and exploded for 148 yards in an opening-round playoff loss that A.J. Brown missed with a knee injury. The most discouraging development wasn't Smith's early season pseudo-slump, nor the Eagles' late-season collapse -- it was his target share dropping from 27.0 percent in 2022 down to 22.9 percent in 2023 (active games only). Brown's share went up just a tick (28.6 to 29.8), while the RBs' portion skyrocketed from 12.1 percent to 17.8. Smith nonetheless posted a solid receiving line (81-1.066-7 on 112 targets), fueled by career highs for catch rate (72.3) and YPT (9.5), though in fantasy terms it was a step back from his 95-1,196-7 line in 2022. While history suggests new Eagles offensive coordinator Kellen Moore will keep RBs involved in the passing game, Moore's offenses also have tended to be WR-friendly, with highlights including a trio of 100-target receivers for the 2020 Cowboys and Keenan Allen producing a career-high 95.6 yards per game last year in Los Angeles. Even if Smith doesn't rebound to (or surpass) his 2022 production, the combination of age (25), talent and QB familiarity makes him one of the safer picks among players commonly taken in the third/fourth round of fantasy drafts.