Dalton Kincaid

Dalton Kincaid

26-Year-Old Tight EndTE
Buffalo Bills
Questionable
Injury Hamstring
Est. Return 12/7/2025
Fri Practice: Limited
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Kincaid seemed poised for a big sophomore season after posting 555 yards over the last 11 games of his 2023 rookie campaign, but he instead regressed to 448 yards in 13 regular-season games while scoring just two TDs for a second straight year. Knee injuries slowed him down for part of 2024, but the bigger problems were lackluster blocking (which impacted his playing time) and a 58.7 percent catch rate (worst among qualified pass catchers with an aDOT below 8.0). Kincaid’s 10 red-zone targets were double the total of teammate Dawson Knox, but 15 other tight ends had more, as the Bills scored 32 of their 62 offensive touchdowns on the ground and didn’t have a player exceed five receiving TDs. The only real positive for Kincaid last year was a 29.0 percent target rate, good for second among TEs and up from 22.5 percent his rookie season. He didn't give the Bills much reason to continue feeding him, but it's nonetheless too early to completely write off a recent first-round pick who caught 73 passes as a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#129.21
ADP
$Signed a four-year, $13.43 million contract with the Bills in May of 2023.
Will try to play through injuries
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
December 6, 2025
Kincaid (hamstring/knee), who is officially questionable to take the field against Cincinnati on Sunday, is expected to try to play, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid's hamstring injury kept him out of action for Buffalo's past three games. He dealt with an additional injury to his knee this week, but the third-year tight end managed a trio of limited practices. It sounds like he'll try to give it a go Sunday, though his official status probably won't be solidified until after he begins his pregame routine and and until the Bills release their list of inactives about 90 minutes prior to the 1:00 p.m. ET kickoff. It's also worth noting that Sunday's game is expected to be played in wintery conditions -- including possible snow -- though it's uncertain if that will be a factor in Buffalo's decision to deploy Kincaid.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Dalton Kincaid's 2024 advanced stats compare to other tight ends?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
  • % Targeted On Route
    Targets divided by total routes run. Also known as TPRR.
  • Avg Yds Per Route Run
    Receiving yards divided by total routes run. Also known as YPRR.
Air Yards Per Game
42.8
 
Air Yards Per Snap
1.53
 
% Team Air Yards
13.3%
 
% Team Targets
10.4%
 
Avg Depth of Target
9.5 Yds
 
Catch Rate
80.6%
 
Drop Rate
5.6%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.8
 
% Targeted On Route
25.7%
 
Avg Yds Per Route Run
3.20
 
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2025
2024
2023
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Snap Counts
Snap %
Buffalo BillsBills 2024 TE Snap Distribution See more data like this | See last season's snap counts
#% of Team Snaps

48461%
19775%
34744%
12247%
22428%
187%
182%
187%
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How often does Dalton Kincaid run a route when on the field for a pass play?
This data will let you see how Dalton Kincaid and the other tight ends for the Bills are being used. Some tight ends may have a lot of snaps, but they're not that useful for fantasy purposes because they're not actually running routes. This data will help you see when this is the case.
Dalton Kincaid
140 routes   36 targets
← More Blocking
% Routes Run
More Receiving →
66%
62 routes   14 targets
18%
216 routes   29 targets
47%
Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Dalton Kincaid lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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This Week's Opposing Pass Defense
How does the Bengals pass defense compare to other NFL teams this season?
The bars represents the team's percentile rank (based on QB Rating Against). The longer the bar, the better their pass defense is. The team and position group ratings only include players that are currently on the roster and not on injured reserve. The list of players in the table only includes defenders with at least 3 attempts against them.
CIN
vs Bengals
Sunday, Dec 7th at 1:00PM
Overall QB Rating Against
68.0
 
Cornerbacks
64.8
 
Safeties
73.6
 
Linebackers
78.7
 
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2024 Dalton Kincaid Split Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Kincaid took a while to gain Josh Allen’s trust, but the 2023 first-round pick out of Utah got going from Week 7 onward, catching 56 passes for 555 yards and two touchdowns on 72 targets over the final 11 games. It helped that fellow Bills tight end Dawson Knox missed five of those games due to a wrist injury, but Kincaid’s two best yardage totals (87 and 84) came in Weeks 17 and 18 after Knox had returned. The biggest knock on Kincaid’s otherwise promising rookie season was that he caught only two of Allen’s 29 touchdown passes, though he added a third in the playoffs (along with 104 yards on 11 targets in two games). After scoring eight touchdowns in each of his last two seasons at Utah, the 6-foot-4, 240-pound rookie tied for 17th among TEs with nine red-zone targets last year, somehow seeing only one more than Knox. It’s hard to imagine Kincaid’s red-zone usage staying that low in the future, but with the 6-foot-4, 254-pound Knox still around, Kincaid may continue to cede more prime score opportunities than other similarly skilled tight ends.
Buffalo traded up two spots to select Kincaid 25th overall in the 2023 NFL Draft. While the rookie out of Utah is going to an explosive offense helmed by quarterback Josh Allen, the presence of fellow tight end Dawson Knox likely will prevent Kincaid from taking on large snap counts. Knox already has excellent red-zone chemistry with Allen, having caught 15 touchdowns over the past two seasons, and there will only be so many targets to go around for the tight ends behind wide receivers Stefon Diggs and Gabriel Davis. Kincaid scored eight touchdowns each of his last two seasons at Utah, and he finished with 70 catches for 890 yards in 2022. The 6-foot-4 tight end has the skills and situation to develop into a productive pass catcher at the position, but he’ll likely be brought along slowly unless injuries to teammates thrust him into a key role.
More Fantasy News
To be questionable for Week 14
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
December 5, 2025
Coach Sean McDermott said Friday that Kincaid (hamstring/knee) will be listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Bengals, Cameron Wolfe of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another limited listing
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
December 4, 2025
Kincaid (hamstring/knee) was limited at practice Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Remains listed as limited
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
December 3, 2025
Coach Sean McDermott said that Kincaid (hamstring/knee) will be limited in Wednesday's walk-through, Maddy Glab of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Inactive versus Steelers
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
November 30, 2025
Kincaid (hamstring) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Steelers.
ANALYSIS
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Questionable for Sunday's contest
TEBuffalo Bills
Hamstring
November 28, 2025
Coach Sean McDermott noted Friday that Kincaid (hamstring) will be listed as questionable for Sunday's game against the Steelers, Maddy Glab of the Bills' official site reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Potential breakout candidate
TEBuffalo Bills
July 22, 2025
Kincaid could see his role expand in the Buffalo offense in 2025, Joe Buscaglia of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Kincaid had a disappointing 2024 season, seeing his production dip across the board. That was in part due to a knee injury that sidelined him for three games and limited his snaps down the stretch. Kincaid enters training camp healthy and with added strength, and the Bills may have contractual reasons to give Kincaid additional opportunities in 2025. The team will have to decide whether to pick up the fifth-year option on his rookie contract next offseason, and it could also part ways with Dawson Knox given the way his contract is structured, giving the Bills incentive to see if Kincaid can take over as the primary tight end.
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