Super Bowl Odds: Current 2026 Odds to Win the Super Bowl

Latest Super Bowl Odds Movement

• 📈 Biggest Winner: New England Patriots +600 → +255 
• 📉 Biggest Loser: Denver Broncos +750 → +1300

Super Bowl Favorites – Conference Championships

The Seattle Seahawks are currently own the best odds to win the Super Bowl, but it's a tight race up top. The latest odds from BetMGM Sportsbook list the remaining teams as the Seahawks (+150), Rams (+225), Patriots (+255), and Broncos (+1300). Denver's odds plummeted despite knocking off the Bills, as starting QB Bo Nix broke his ankle and will miss the rest of the year. 

Below, I'll break down everything you need to know about the current Super Bowl odds, including who is favored, who the contenders are, some intriguing dark-horses, and my best Super Bowl bets to place in the Conference Championships. Make sure you check out the latest odds to win NFL MVP as well. 

Note: All odds in the table above were sourced from major US Sportsbooks. They are the longest available odds for each team as of the writing of this article. 

AFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the AFC heading into the Conference Championships. Make sure to use an offer like the bet365 bonus code to juice up your picks. 

Patriots Odds to Win Super Bowl: +255 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Legitimately elite play from Drake Maye 
• ✅ Stefon Diggs looks like a legit No. 1 when New England increases his snap count
• ✅ Mike Vrabel at head coach

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can they survive mounting injuries to the offensive and defensive lines?
• ❌ Outside of Diggs, the receiving corps doesn't scare anyone
• ❌ Young and inconsistent – probably a year away

Broncos Odds to Win Super Bowl: +1300

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defense led by the league's best pass-rush
• ✅ Patrick Surtain headlines a dominant secondary
• ✅ Improvement of the running game

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Bo Nix out for the year – Jarrett Stidham now leads this offense
• ❌ Is the recent defensive fall-off a blip on the radar or a sign of things to come?
• ❌ Up-and-down receiving corps

NFC Super Bowl Favorites

Here are the top-three Super Bowl favorites from the NFC heading into the Conference Championships. Make sure to check out the best sportsbook promos to maximize your bets. 

Seahawks Odds to Win Super Bowl: +150 

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Dominant defensively – elite upfront, talented secondary, schematic brilliance from Mike MacDonald
• ✅ Darnold to JSN is the most explosive combination in the league right now
• ✅ Kenneth Walker leads an emerging running game 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Will Bad Sam Darnold show up in the postseason?
• ❌ Someone needs to step up behind JSN – they need more from Shaheed
• ❌ Weak interior O-Line outside of Zabel

Rams Odds to Win Super Bowl: +225

⭐️ Case to Win Super Bowl: 

• ✅ Proven history with Matthew Stafford and Sean McVay 
• ✅ Dominant duo of Puka Nacua and Davante Adams 
• ✅ Jared Verse and the terrifying pass-rush turning this defense into an elite unit 

👎 Case Against: 

• ❌ Can Emmanuel Forbes and Cobie Durant maintain this level of play?
• ❌ Lots of aging or injury-prone key players – can they stay healthy?  
• ❌ Major decline from RT Rob Havenstein & might not have a reliable third option at WR

Best 2025 Super Bowl Bets: Conference Championships

Here are my favorite Super Bowl bets to place, heading into the Conference Championships. Make sure to click the link below to maximize your bets with Odds Jam: 

New England Patriots: +255  

Right now, the Patriots feel like the best value on the board. They have a much easier path to the Super Bowl than Seattle or LA. The Broncos are talented and will be a tough out even without Bo Nix. But Jarrett Stidham hasn't attempted a pass since 2023. And while having Sean Payton and this offensive line is nice, I don't think this receiving corps is good enough to lift up their QB, who will probably need perfect circumstances to shine. Circumstances will be far from perfect against this Patriots' defense.

Milton Williams' return from injury has transformed this unit. With a healthy Williams, the Patriots had the league's eighth-best defense in EPA per play from Week 1-10. They owned the fourth-best run defense in EPA and had the eighth-best rushing success rate in that span. Without him, NE fell to 11th in EPA per play, had the fourth-worst EPA per play against the run, and owned the third-worst rushing success rate from Week 11-17. 

Now that he's back, New England's defense has looked dominant. Williams has two pressures and two sacks and has been PFF's second-highest-graded DT against the run in the playoffs. His play is a big reason why the Patriots have only given up 19 points across two playoff games. The only touchdown they allowed came when Houston was gifted the ball at the 27-yard line after a Drake Maye fumble. 

Stop me if you've heard this before, but a soft schedule has a lot to do with that. Even so, if this defense is as good as it looks, New England legitimately might win it all. Drake Maye is playing at an MVP level, the skill-position players are firing on all cylinders, and this defense is red-hot. Even if it feels like the Pats have arrived a year or two ahead of schedule, that's a tried-and-true Super Bowl recipe.

• ⭐️ Best Odds to Win Super Bowl: +255 (DraftKings Sportsbook)

Best Dark-Horse Super Bowl Bet: Conference Championships

• ⭐️ New England Patriots (+255) – DraftKings Sportsbook

Current NFL Super Bowl Odds for Every Team