Trey Gibson

23-Year-Old PitcherP
Baltimore Orioles AAA
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Gibson was a data darling in 2024 in the lower levels, but given that he was an undrafted free agent signing 2023, it took a while for people to catch up to how good he is. It became more apparent in 2025, as the 6-foot-5, 240-pound righty put up a dominant 31.9 K-BB% in a return to High-A and a 1.55 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, 68:18 K:BB and 49.1 percent groundball rate in 52.1 innings (10 starts) at Double-A. He ran into some bad luck and performed worse against Triple-A hitters, logging a 7.98 ERA, 3.80 xFIP, 1.81 WHIP and 31:12 K:BB in 29.1 innings over seven starts. Gibson's dominant groundball rates from 2024 didn't carry over in 2025, as he has steadily tinkered with his pitch mix. He operates with a pair of mid-90s fastballs and several breaking ball variations, all of which are exciting bat-missing weapons. The Orioles are going into 2026 with plenty of rotation depth, but Gibson should be deserving of a shot sometime this summer. He has a chance to be a high-strikeout mid-rotation starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
#400
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Orioles in August of 2023.
Climbs three levels
PBaltimore Orioles  AAA
August 21, 2025
Gibson has a 3.12 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 12:1 K:BB in 8.2 innings across two starts since getting promoted to Triple-A Norfolk on Aug. 12.
Analysis
Gibson has a 2.34 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 119 strikeouts in 77 innings over his last 16 starts across Double-A and Triple-A. The 23-year-old righty has always had success missing bats and generating groundballs, but this year Gibson's control took a step forward. He had never logged a walk rate below 9.7 percent coming into the year, but in 2025 he's had a walk rate below 9.0 percent at all three stops and holds an 8.0 percent walk rate on the season. While Gibson isn't on the 40-man roster, he could make his big-league debut either late this year or early in 2026.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Called up before end of 2025?
PBaltimore Orioles  AAA
August 23, 2025
Sam Dykstra and Jonathan Mayo of MLB.com list Gibson as a potential prospect who could be called up to the majors by the Orioles before the end of the 2025 season.
Analysis
Gibson is currently pitching with Triple-A Norfolk after starting the season in High-A Aberdeen. The 23-year-old right-hander has posted a 2.10 ERA, 0.93 WHIP and 13.1 K/9 in 60 innings over his last 12 outings between Double-A and Triple-A. Even with Kyle Bradish set to make his 2025 debut against the Red Sox in the coming week, Gibson could be called up to get some big-league experience and give the Orioles' rotation a boost.
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