Ranger Suarez

Suarez remained a perfectly serviceable mid-rotation option for the Phillies last season, though he did see his ERA jump over half a run from 3.65 to 4.18. His ERA estimators generally showed a more modest change, as a jump in strikeout rate from 19.5 percent to 22.0 percent helped offset a drop in groundball rate from 55.4 percent to 48.5 percent. A roughly average number of strikeouts and walks alongside a healthy diet of grounders has been the formula throughout Suarez's career, and there's little reason to doubt that will continue in 2024, health permitting. Elbow issues delayed his 2023 debut until mid-May and limited him to 22 starts, but he remained on the mound the rest of the way outside of a brief bout of hamstring soreness in late August. Suarez capped the year with his second consecutive excellent postseason, producing a 1.93 ERA across four starts. He's now a big-game pitcher and a locked-in starter for a contender, but his fantasy value is held back by the fact that his groundball-heavy profile leads to modest strikeout totals and an elevated WHIP (1.42 last season).