
Framber Valdez
32-Year-Old
Free Agent

2025 Stats
W-L
13-11
ERA
3.66
WHIP
1.24
K
187
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has settled in as the ace of Houston's staff over the past few years, and that trend continued in 2024 as he posted a 2.91 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 169:55 K:BB across 176.1 innings. A 3.36 xERA and 3.08 xFIP indicate he may have been a bit fortunate with the results, but those numbers are still strong and aren't anything to be concerned about. The left-hander's 16.2 percent K-BB% is solid if not a bit underwhelming for a pitcher of his caliber, as he continues to rely on inducing grounders (60.6 percent groundball rate). Valdez's recent track record of availability and effectiveness give him a strong floor, but his ceiling is more limited than the top-tier fantasy pitchers due to the lower strikeout totals. Read Past Outlooks
Turns down QO from Houston
Valdez declined the Astros' one-year, $22.025 million qualifying offer Tuesday, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
It's no surprise the left-hander rejected the qualifying offer since he's expected to land a significant multi-year deal in free agency. Valdez has been one of the most consistent starting pitchers in baseball since he became a full-time member of Houston's starting rotation in 2020, though his 3.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP last season were his worst marks since the 2019 and 2021 campaigns, respectively. Due to the qualifying offer, the Astros will receive draft-pick compensation if he signs with another team.
It's no surprise the left-hander rejected the qualifying offer since he's expected to land a significant multi-year deal in free agency. Valdez has been one of the most consistent starting pitchers in baseball since he became a full-time member of Houston's starting rotation in 2020, though his 3.66 ERA and 1.24 WHIP last season were his worst marks since the 2019 and 2021 campaigns, respectively. Due to the qualifying offer, the Astros will receive draft-pick compensation if he signs with another team.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-9%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .243 | 112 | 30 | 89 | 12 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .227 | 444 | 150 | 388 | 35 |
| 2025vs Left | .257 | 33 | 11 | 35 | 5 |
| 2025vs Right | .234 | 154 | 57 | 136 | 10 |
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 |
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 |
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 |
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-28%
ERA at Home
2025
-45%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 2.83 | 1.08 | 292.1 | 9.5 | 2.4 |
| Since 2023Away | 3.91 | 1.24 | 274.0 | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| 2025Home | 2.58 | 1.16 | 94.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 |
| 2025Away | 4.70 | 1.33 | 97.2 | 7.8 | 3.3 |
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 |
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 |
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 |
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 |
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.75K/9
8.8BB/9
3.2HR/9
0.7Fastball
94.3 mphERA
3.66WHIP
1.24BABIP
.306GB/FB
2.98Left On Base
72.0%Exit Velocity
84.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2304 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%Swinging Strike
11.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Handed qualifying offer
The Astros extended a one-year, $22.05 million qualifying offer to Valdez on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 10 in quality start
Valdez (13-11) earned the win against the Athletics on Thursday, allowing one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out 10 batters across seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles again with control
Valdez (12-11) took the loss in the Saturday's contest against the Mariners, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to Atlanta
Valdez (12-10) took the loss Sunday against Atlanta, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks over four innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Goes seven innings in loss
Valdez (12-9) took the loss Sunday against the Rangers, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and one walk with five strikeouts over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Mets, Orioles leading pack
The Mets and Orioles are among the favorites to sign Valdez, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Valdez is a relatively old free agent at 32, but he's been a workhorse, throwing at least 192 regular-season innings in three of the last four years while adding an additional 41.1 postseason innings over that span. The left-hander boasts a 3.20 ERA over the last five regular seasons.
Valdez is a relatively old free agent at 32, but he's been a workhorse, throwing at least 192 regular-season innings in three of the last four years while adding an additional 41.1 postseason innings over that span. The left-hander boasts a 3.20 ERA over the last five regular seasons.
