2025 Stats
W-L
4-6
ERA
5.68
WHIP
1.41
K
74
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elbow trouble sabotaged Miller's 2025 season, as he was first shut down in mid-May with inflammation before making a second trip to the injured list in June. His performance when available was a far cry from his breakout 2024, with his FIP jumping from 3.58 to 5.17. Miller's stuff was down and he finished the regular season with just an 18.9 K% over 90.1 innings. While he pitched well for Seattle in the postseason with a 2.51 ERA across 14.1 innings and indicated he was feeling the best he had all season, there was talk of another PRP shot after the Mariners were eliminated. Surgery was not expected to be necessary heading into the offseason, but it sounds like Miller may need additional treatment for what is said to be a small bone spur in his right elbow. Read Past Outlooks
Avoids arbitration with Seattle
The Mariners and Miller avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.4375 million contract Tuesday. The deal includes a $6.075 million club option for 2027.
Analysis
The two sides were unable to come to an agreement prior to arbitration figures being exchanged earlier this month, but they've now reached a deal to avoid a hearing. Miller posted a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 regular-season innings in 2025 and missed time with elbow issues on two occasions. The righty returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs, collecting a 2.51 ERA and 9:5 K:BB over 14.1 frames covering three postseason starts. Miller appears poised to enter spring training with a clean bill of health.
The two sides were unable to come to an agreement prior to arbitration figures being exchanged earlier this month, but they've now reached a deal to avoid a hearing. Miller posted a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 regular-season innings in 2025 and missed time with elbow issues on two occasions. The righty returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs, collecting a 2.51 ERA and 9:5 K:BB over 14.1 frames covering three postseason starts. Miller appears poised to enter spring training with a clean bill of health.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
68
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-6%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .248 | 162 | 66 | 181 | 37 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .216 | 202 | 39 | 167 | 19 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .258 | 30 | 18 | 39 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .274 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .207 | 85 | 32 | 72 | 15 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .192 | 86 | 13 | 59 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .303 | 47 | 16 | 70 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .200 | 72 | 10 | 54 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-30%
ERA at Home
2025
-4%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.34 | 1.05 | 215.1 | 9.1 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.77 | 1.22 | 186.2 | 7.0 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.80 | 1.38 | 45.0 | 8.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.56 | 1.43 | 45.1 | 6.6 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.96 | 0.87 | 96.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.07 | 1.10 | 84.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.65 | 1.08 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.18 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.18K/9
7.4BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.7Fastball
96.3 mphERA
5.68WHIP
1.41BABIP
.296GB/FB
1.06Left On Base
67.8%Exit Velocity
84.8 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2211 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.8%Swinging Strike
10.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025.
More Fantasy News
Could receive injection for elbow
Miller will have a follow-up appointment soon with Dr. Keith Meister to determine the next steps for treatment of a small bone spur in his right elbow, Adam Jude of the Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Four punchouts in Game 5
Miller didn't factor into the decision Friday during Game 5 of the ALCS against the Blue Jays, allowing one earned run on four hits and two walks while striking out four batters over four-plus innings.
Analysis
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Slated for Game 5 start
Miller will start Friday's Game 5 of the ALCS against the Blue Jays, Tim Booth of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Earns win in Game 1
Miller pitched six innings, allowing one run on two hits and three walks while striking out three on his way to a win in Sunday's 3-1 victory over the Blue Jays in Game 1 of the ALCS.
Analysis
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Drawing Game 1 start
Miller will start against the Blue Jays in Game 1 of the ALCS on Sunday, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Poised for arbitration hearing
Miller requested $2.625 million and was offered $2.25 million by the Mariners when arbitration figures were exchanged last week, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.