Out
Injury Side
Est. Return 3/20/2026
2025 Stats
W-L
4-6
ERA
5.68
WHIP
1.41
K
74
SV
0
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elbow trouble sabotaged Miller's 2025 season, as he was first shut down in mid-May with inflammation before making a second trip to the injured list in June. His performance when available was a far cry from his breakout 2024, with his FIP jumping from 3.58 to 5.17. Miller's stuff was down and he finished the regular season with just an 18.9 K% over 90.1 innings. While he pitched well for Seattle in the postseason with a 2.51 ERA across 14.1 innings and indicated he was feeling the best he had all season, there was talk of another PRP shot after the Mariners were eliminated. Surgery was not expected to be necessary heading into the offseason, but it sounds like Miller may need additional treatment for what is said to be a small bone spur in his right elbow. Read Past Outlooks
Returns to mound work
Miller (side) threw a 25-pitch touch-and-feel bullpen session Sunday at about 80 percent intensity, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Analysis
The right-hander was able to mix in all his pitches and is now scheduled for a normal 25-to-30-pitch bullpen session in a couple days. Miller was briefly shut down from throwing after receiving a platelet-rich plasma injection to treat inflammation in his left side, which has delayed his buildup during spring training. If the 27-year-old can continue to ramp up with no further issues, it's possible he can avoid a stint on the injured list to begin the season.
The right-hander was able to mix in all his pitches and is now scheduled for a normal 25-to-30-pitch bullpen session in a couple days. Miller was briefly shut down from throwing after receiving a platelet-rich plasma injection to treat inflammation in his left side, which has delayed his buildup during spring training. If the 27-year-old can continue to ramp up with no further issues, it's possible he can avoid a stint on the injured list to begin the season.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
68
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-6%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .248 | 162 | 66 | 181 | 37 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .216 | 202 | 39 | 167 | 19 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .258 | 30 | 18 | 39 | 10 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .274 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .207 | 85 | 32 | 72 | 15 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .192 | 86 | 13 | 59 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .303 | 47 | 16 | 70 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .200 | 72 | 10 | 54 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-30%
ERA at Home
2025
-4%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 3.34 | 1.05 | 215.1 | 9.1 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 4.77 | 1.22 | 186.2 | 7.0 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.80 | 1.38 | 45.0 | 8.2 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.56 | 1.43 | 45.1 | 6.6 | 3.4 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.96 | 0.87 | 96.1 | 10.4 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.07 | 1.10 | 84.0 | 6.4 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.65 | 1.08 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.18 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.18K/9
7.4BB/9
3.4HR/9
1.7Fastball
96.3 mphERA
5.68WHIP
1.41BABIP
.296GB/FB
1.06Left On Base
67.8%Exit Velocity
84.8 mphBarrels/BBE
5.2%Spin Rate
2211 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.8%Swinging Strike
10.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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After a disappointing 2025, Bryce Miller enters the upcoming campaign as one of the top AL sleeper starters.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025.
More Fantasy News
Ready to throw again
Miller (side) is slated to play catch Wednesday, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
Analysis
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Dealing with side inflammation
Miller received a platelet-rich plasma injection Saturday to treat inflammation in his left side, Shannon Drayer of SeattleSports.com reports.
Analysis
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Elbow feeling 100 percent
Miller said Monday that he hasn't dealt with any discomfort in his right elbow this offseason and the elbow "feels 100 percent" early in spring training, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Adds 12 pounds over offseason
Miller has added 12 pounds over the offseason and touched 98.3 mph during a recent throwing session, he posted on his X account Jan. 16.
Analysis
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Avoids arbitration with Seattle
The Mariners and Miller avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $2.4375 million contract Tuesday. The deal includes a $6.075 million club option for 2027.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Poised for arbitration hearing
Miller requested $2.625 million and was offered $2.25 million by the Mariners when arbitration figures were exchanged last week, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.


