Andrew Mangiapane

One number stands out more than any on Mangiapane's 2022-23 stat line: his 9.3 shooting percentage. It's the first time he's had a shooting percentage lower than 12.3 percent since his 2018-19 rookie campaign. He underwent shoulder surgery in April, so there's at least a slight question mark for his availability to begin 2023-24, but he shouldn't have to miss much time, if any. Even in a down year, he put up 43 points in 82 contests -- he hasn't missed a game in the last three campaigns, and he's sat out just two contests since becoming an NHL regular. His career-high 35 goals from 2021-22 might be too high of a target to shoot for, but he's a shoot-first winger that should be capable of 25 tallies and 50-plus points this year if he's fully healthy.

Mangiapane looked like a solid depth piece for the Flames after producing back-to-back 32-point seasons in 2019-20 and 2020-21. He took his game to an entirely new level this past year, racking up 35 goals and 55 points while playing in all 82 regular season games for Calgary. Mangiapane's breakout came despite the fact he saw 56 seconds less of playing time per game than two years ago. His 18.9 percent shooting percentage means Mangiapane is likely in for some regression in the goal-scoring department, but the Flames were confident enough regarding what they saw from the winger a year ago to ink him to a new three-year, $17.4 million contract in early August.

Mangiapane has put together back-to-back 32-point campaigns, but he needed just 56 games last year compared to 68 contests the year before to do it. A corresponding increase of 2:58 extra ice time per game likely helped his cause as the 25-year-old winger became a true top-six presence for a Flames team that saw plenty of underachievers in 2020-21. While his 19.8 shooting percentage is likely to drop this year, a further increase in his role, especially on the power play, could lead to a breakout season. Mangiapane will add a little tenacity and a relentless pursuit of the puck, both traits that should keep him in the good graces of head coach Darryl Sutter. If all goes well, the Ontario native could land between 45 and 50 points.

Mangiapane outperformed expectations in 2019-20 with 17 goals and 15 assists in 68 games. His success translated into a top-six role alongside Matthew Tkachuk and Mikael Backlund -- that trio could enter 2020-21 as the Flames' top line. Mangiapane still averaged only 13:42 per game last season, as he didn't see much power-play time. He's due for upticks in usage across the board, and that could result in a corresponding boost in production. Look for the 24-year-old winger to approach a 35-to-40-point pace and contribute modest physicality while seeing time in Calgary's top six and on its second power-play unit.

Mangiapane bounced between AHL Stockton and Calgary for the first half of the 2018-19 campaign, but he stuck with the big club for good from February on, posting 12 of his 13 points in the last 31 games of the regular season. The winger solidified his spot on the fourth line during that span, adding a plus-15 rating and 54 shots on goal. Mangiapane tallied 104 points in 120 games over three seasons in the AHL, but he'll almost certainly never be able to replicate that level of success at the NHL level. If he can play the full season, the Toronto native should be able to produce 20-to-25 points in a bottom-six role for the Flames in 2019-20, but he won't be productive enough to warrant consideration in most fantasy formats.

Selected in the sixth round of the 2015 draft, Mangiapane kept flashing his offensive potential with AHL Stockton last season, scoring 21 goals and 46 points in 39 games before making his NHL debut -- he went scoreless in 10 NHL games. Prior to his minor-league experience, the 5-foot-10 winger posted 94 goals and 210 points in his final two seasons in the OHL. Mangiapane likely will see most of his time this season in the minors, but with the Flames committed to developing young talent, he should challenge for an NHL spot.