Weekly Fantasy Golf Preview: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro Am

This article is part of our Weekly Fantasy Golf Preview series.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

Pebble Beach Golf Links
Pebble Beach, CA

The PGA Tour heads to Pebble Beach for another edition of the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Another week and another win by Chris Gotterup, this is getting kind of boring, am I right? Seriously, what are we witnessing with this guy? He wins early in his career, then disappears, then comes back with a vengeance and now he's leaving no doubt that this past season was indeed, not a fluke. The next step for Gotterup is contending at the Signature Events and eventually the majors. Considering his accelerated pace however, he might just check those final two boxes this season.   

As for the guys he beat, let's start with Hideki Matsuyama. What in the world was that? I've never seen a guy that lost off the tee, have an event all but locked up, only to find a way to lose. Matsuyama needed just a par on the 72nd-hole, but of course he began that hole with a wayward drive. He managed to sidestep disaster however as he had a clear look at the green, but inexplicably thinned his bunker shot. He still had a chance to win with an up and down from the fairway, but his approach left a difficult putt and for once on Sunday, he missed it. The playoff was over before it started as Matsuyama's driving woes carried over to the first playoff hole. This time, a ball in the water, something he had no chance to overcome. 

It's amazing that a professional golfer, playing at a level high enough to hold a lead going into the final hole of an event, can't figure out how to get off the tee. This one is going to sting for a while, and quite honestly, I wouldn't be surprised if he carries these scars for some time. The next time he gets in the lead on Sunday, the whispers will start, can he keep it together off the tee?

There was another guy in play on Sunday, someone you might have heard of, Scottie Scheffler. Perhaps more amazing than his comeback over the final three rounds was his start on Thursday. I did a legitimate double take when I saw his score on Thursday. How is it even possible for Scheffler to shoot over par? No, seriously, how did that happen? Scheffler obviously didn't have his best early on, but his form over the final three rounds leads me to believe that he's primed to get back into the winner's circle this week.

Speaking of this week, we've finally have our first Signature Event of the season. It was a long wait, but from here through the end of the FedEx playoffs, we've got a lot of big events packed into a small timeframe. This stretch should be a lot of fun.

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LAST YEAR

Rory McIlroy shot a final round 66 on his way to a two-stroke victory over Shane Lowry.

FAVORITES

All odds via FanDuel Sportsbook as of 6:30 PM ET Tuesday.

Scottie Scheffler (3-1) 

Scheffler fails to win as the favorite this past week and his odds just tumble, all the way to 3-1. What is this world coming to? Seriously, this is about where we'd expect the odds to be for an in-form Scheffler, even against the best golfers in the world. Scheffler has only played this event twice and he's finished in the top-10 each time, so he shouldn't have much trouble getting around this course. The only question this week is, will he dig himself into a hole again? It doesn't seem likely, but if he does, you can finally get some good odds on Scheffler. Scheffler was near 20-1 after the 1st-round this past week at the WM. A slow start is the only way to get decent odds on Scheffler anymore.   

Rory McIlroy (14-1)

McIlroy struggled after finally completing the career grand slam this past season, but after a few months, he found his game. Now he enters this season, for the first time, with no more boxes to check. It will definitely be freeing, not to have anything weighing on him this season, but will it make a difference? I have to imagine that McIlroy will get better without the pressure because he played with it for so long, with not much success, at least at the majors. Check that, he played well at many majors during that decade between majors, but obviously the wins were missing. This should be a great year for McIlroy and it could start this week as he's the defending champion. He doesn't have a ton of experience at this event, but the same was true this past year, and he won. 

Tommy Fleetwood (25-1)

To use an expression often heard at the Craps table, it appears as though we have a new shooter. Scheffler and McIlroy have been atop the odds chart at every event over the past few years, but the third spot has seen a few different faces. Jon Rahm was in the mix before leaving the PGA Tour and Xander Schauffele occupied that space for much of the past two years, but after his breakthrough season in 2025, it appears as though it's Fleetwood's turn. Much like McIlroy, this will be an interesting season for Fleetwood, as he too got a huge weight off his back. Fleetwood should also thrive this season, but unlike McIlroy, he might not start quite as fast. Fleetwood has played this event three times and while he's yet to miss a cut, he also has nothing better than a T22 on his resume.  

Visit our golf betting section for the latest PGA odds and finishing props from multiple sportsbooks.

THE NEXT TIER

Si Woo Kim (25-1)          

Gotterup, Scheffler and Matsuyama took all the headlines this past week, but Kim is playing as well as anyone right now. Can he keep it going at Pebble Beach? Kim has an interesting track record at this event. He struggled mightily in his first handful of tries here, missing the cut in three of his first five starts at this event, but he's posted top-15s in his past two tries here and he does have a top-5 here as well. His track record is good enough for me to think that with his current form, he could again contend this week.

Justin Rose (27-1)

Doubt Justin Rose at your own risk. At this point, I don't think it's even worth thinking about where he is in his career or his age, it just doesn't seem to matter, so don't overthink it. He's already got a win this season, he's no stranger to beating the best players in the world and his track record here is very solid. This has not always been a Signature Event, but Rose has yet to miss a cut here in six tries and he's posted three top-10s, including a win in 2023. Rose has a tendency to play better when he's under the radar, so that could be working against him this week, but considering his track record here, I would be surprised if he weren't in the mix on Sunday.

Chris Gotterup (30-1)

When Gotterup played well in the latter half of this past season, it looked like he just might be on a heater. Fast forward a few months and it's pretty clear that this is more than just a heater. It's weird how we view certain players as having more potential than others, like Will Zalatoris or Cameron Young. Those guys looked the part for years without a win, yet we were always ready to crown them as the next big thing, yet a guy like Gotterup sneaks up on all of us and we're very slow to give him credit. I was in that camp this past year, but no longer. Gotterup is legit and winning a Signature Event is the next step in his evolution.     

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LONG SHOTS

Sam Burns (70-1)          

Burns is not in the best form entering this week, as proof but his missed cut the WM this past week, but these odds seem too high for a 6-time winner on the PGA Tour, who is in his prime. Burns has laned inside the top 30 at season's end for the past five years and there's no reason to think that will change this year. He's only played this event three times, but he's done pretty well each time, with his best showing of a T10 in in 2024.

Sahith Theegala (80-1)

The oddsmakers have been very slow to catch back up to Theegala. Yes, he had a terrible 2025 season, but 2026 has been a different story. He was in contention this past week, and while he didn't win, these reps on Sunday while in the mix are going to help him get back into form. Theegala was a top 30 golfer for three years prior to his disastrous 2025 season, and while he only has just one win on the PGA Tour, he still has that win, so he knows he can close. It's going to be tough to win against this field, but that's why his odds went from 55-1 in Scottsdale to 80-1 this week.

ONE-AND-DONE LEAGUES

Highly-Chosen Pick: Justin Rose – This is a Signature Event, so everyone is in play, even Scheffler, but the weird thing about this week is that most of the top players don't have a long and successful track record here. I can't imagine using McIlroy of Scheffler this week, which opens the door to a lot of players, including Rose, who does have a strong track record here and the form needed. Rose is a borderline play for signatures, but considering his track record and the fact that he's already won this season, he'll likely be taken at some point in a big spot, so why not here?    

Moderately-Chosen Pick: Chris Gotterup – Are OAD players finally coming around to Gotterup? Would they pull the trigger on him the week after a win? As a first-timer? Those two factors will keep his ownership down this week, but as mentioned earlier, there aren't a lot of options that look great this week, so it's going to be spread out. If you believe Gotterup is the real deal, then you shouldn't let the fact that he won the week before prevent you from using him this time.   

Lightly-Chosen Pick: Viktor Hovland – This spot is usually reserved for a longshot, but this week it has someone with better odds that just likely won't be all that popular in OAD formats. The reason is that his track record here is just okay. It's not bad, it's not great, more importantly, it's not eye-catching. The reason is might work is Hovland's form, which appears to be pretty good coming into this week as he posted a top-10 at the WM Phoenix Open.         

Buyer Beware: Xander Schauffele – Schauffele had a rough 2025 season while recovering from an injury, but he seemed to get back on track in the fall when he won the Baycurrent Classic. It was that win, along with the notion that Schauffele was ready to take off when healthy that lead many of us to speculate that 2026 would be a much different season than 2025. That still will likely hold true, but there's no debating that Schauffele is off to a slow start this season. He missed the cut in his first start at the Farmers in January and finished T41 this past week at the WM. His track record here isn't helping matters this week either as he has just two starts here and nothing better than a T54.

My Pick: Justin Rose – I'm not fond of going with the popular pick, and Rose will likely be a popular play this week, but I think it's the right move. Rose is one of a few golfers in the field this week that has current form and track record in his favor. Rose won the Farmers Insurance Open in his most recent start, and I'm generally not fond of taking players the start after a win, but he's had a week off, which should have provided him time to come down from the thrashing he put on the field a couple weeks ago. Rose finished T3 here this past year and he won this event in 2023, so he knows how to get around this course.                    

Previous Results

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FANDUEL PICKS

Upper Range: Justin Rose ($12,000)
Middle Range: Jason Day ($10,600)
Lower Range: Sepp Straka ($8,800)

SURVIVOR LEAGUES

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