Patriots vs Giants Odds and Bets for Monday Night Football

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

NFL Picks: Giants vs. Patriots Odds, Picks, and Predictions for MNF Week 13

The New York Giants (2-10) travel to New England to take on the Patriots (10-2) in an inter-conference matchup on Monday Night Football. The Giants are coming off a bye and a close road loss against the Lions, while the Patriots are off a road win against the Bengals.

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New York Giants vs. New England Patriots Betting Odds

• Giants +7.5 (DraftKings -115)  / Patriots -7.0 (ESPN Bet +100)  
• Giants ML (DraftKings +320) / Patriots ML (Bet365 -350)
• Total OVER 46.5 (DraftKings -112) / UNDER 46.5 (DraftKings -108) 
• Giants total points: Over 19.5 (DraftKings -105) / Under 19.5 (BetRivers -110)
• Patriots total points:  Over 27.5 (BetRivers +106) / Under 27.5 (DraftKings -115) 
• First-half spread: Giants +4.5 (FanDuel +110) / Patriots -4.5 (Caesars Sportsbook -103)            
• First-half total: Over 23.5 (BetMGM -105) / Under 23.5 (BetRivers -107)
• First-half team total: 
  • Giants Over/Under 9.5 (BetRivers -130/+105) 
  • Patriots Over/Under 13.5 (BetRivers -127/-102)      

The Patriots opened as 3.0-point home favorites, but it reopened at -7.5 on November 18th. It has bounced around from -7.0 and -7.5 over the last week.    

The total opened at 42.5 and reopened on November 19th at 46.5.  It peaked at 47.5, but then dipped to 45.5 on 11/26 before bouncing back to 46.5.

The majority of the bets (55%) have come in on the Giants, but the handle is split about 50/50. 

The total has 51 percent of bets on the OVER, and is split 50/50 on the money.  The moneyline is on the Patriots at 95% of the bets and 90% of the money. 

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Key Injuries

Giants 

Patriots 

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Giants vs. Patriots Betting Picks 

Jaxson Dart will be back for this game, which will be a huge boost for New York.

The Giants are a historically bad rushing defense, and I would expect the Patriots to capitalize on this. I would look at several Pats OVER rushing options in this game. 

BETTING TRENDS

The Giants are now the worst run defense tracked by DVOA through 12 games in over 45 years.

• NY Giants are 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Giants' last 7 games.
• NY Giants are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games.
• NY Giants are 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games against New England.
• New England is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games.
• New England is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games.
• New England is 4-3-1 ATS as favorites
• The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New England's last 12 games against the NY Giants.

Giants vs. Patriots Best Bets

• Giants/Patriots OVER 46.5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -110)
• TreVeyon Henderson OVER 60.5 rushing yards for 0.5 unit (Bet365 -110)
• Drake Maye OVER 20.5 rushing yards for 0.5 unit (DraftKings -110)

Giants vs. Patriots Predictions

The Patriots have had the benefit of playing one of the weakest schedules in the league and the Giants have played teams close when Jaxson Dart is starting. I do think we get some points as both defenses have shown to be vulnerable, and I think the Giants will hang around in this game.

Patriots 29, Giants 23