NFL Picks: Eagles vs. Chargers Odds, Picks, and Predictions for MNF Week 14

This article is part of our NFL Picks series.

NFL Picks: Eagles vs. Chargers Odds, Picks, and Predictions for MNF Week 14

Cap off the NFL Week 14 action with our NFL picks for Monday Night Football. The Philadelphia Eagles (8-4) travel to Los Angeles to take on the Chargers (8-4) in an inter-conference matchup on Monday Night Football. The Eagles are coming off a home loss against the Bears, while the Chargers are off a road win against the Raiders.

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Philadelphia Eagles vs. Los Angeles Chargers Betting Odds

• Eagles -2.0 (BetRivers -114)  / Chargers +2.5 (Bet365 -105)  
• Eagles ML (DraftKings -135) / Chargers ML (Bet365 +125)
• Total OVER 41.5 (Bet365 -110) / UNDER 42.5 (DraftKings -112) 
• Eagles total points: Over 21.5 (DraftKings -108) / Under 21.5 (FanDuel -107)
• Chargers total points:  Over 20.5 (BetRivers +104) / Under 20.5 (DraftKings -118) 
• First-half spread: Eagles -0.5 (DraftKings -110) / Chargers +1.5 (Bet365 -120)            
• First-half total: Over 20.5 (Bet365 -110) / Under 21.5 (Hard Rock -125)
• First-half team total: 
  • Eagles Over/Under 10.5 (Bally +112/-139) 
  • Chargers Over/Under 9.5 (Bally -150/+120)      

The Eagles opened as 2.5-point road favorites, and it reopened at the same number. The line has bounced around from -1.5 to -3.0 in favor of the Eagles all week. A lot of the line movement is predicated on whether or not Justin Herbert plays. It is looking like he will be a go on Monday night.    

The total opened at 45.5 and reopened on November 25th at 43.5.  It immediately dropped to 42.5, and then 41.5, and hit a low of 40.5 (Herbert injury) before climbing back up to 41.5 and now back to the opening number of 42.5. The Eagles offensive woes have also led to this number being hammered on the UNDER. 

The majority of the bets (59%) have come in on the Eagles, but the handle is 63 percent on the Chargers, which is indicative of where the SHARP money is coming from. 

The total has 77 percent of bets on the OVER, and 82 percent is on the money.  The moneyline is on the Eagles at 82% of the bets and 90% of the money. 

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Key Injuries

Eagles 

Two huge injuries for the Eagles with Carter and Johnson out. 

Chargers 

It is looking like Herbert will play on Monday night, as well as Omarion Hampton, who has been practicing. We are awaiting official activation, which should come Monday afternoon if he is cleared.

You can follow all the NFL injury news here at RotoWire.

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Eagles vs. Chargers Betting Picks 

This Eagles team is vastly overrated in my opinion and being favored on the road here shows that. I have the Chargers as a 1.0 home favorite which means I am getting 3.5 points of value on the spread. 

BETTING TRENDS

• Philadelphia is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 4 games
• Philadelphia is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games, but 4-4 in their last 8
• Eagles are 4-2 SU on the road in their last 6 games
• LA Chargers is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games.
• The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers' last 7 games.
• LA Chargers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.

Rankings

Eagles vs. Chargers Best Bets

• Chargers ML for 1 unit (Bet365 +125)
• Eagles/Chargers UNDER 42.5 for 0.5 unit (DraftKings -112)
• Eagles/Chargers UNDER 37.5 for 0.25 unit (DraftKings +146)
• Eagles/Chargers UNDER 30.5 for 0.25 unit (DraftKings +354)
• Jalen Hurts UNDER 195.5 passing yards for 0.5 unit (Bet365 -110)

Eagles vs. Chargers Predictions

The difference in strength of schedule between these teams is significant, as the Eagles have played the 5th toughest and the Chargers have played the 31st. But despite that, I love the home dog on Monday night, especially with Hampton back. I look for both teams to try and establish the run, and this could be a game that goes WAY under the total. 

Chargers 17, Eagles 13