This article is part of our Sunday Night DFS Breakdown series.
This is our Sunday Night Football DFS breakdown, running through all the relevant player salaries on DraftKings and FanDuel while forecasting the potential game outcomes as the Baltimore Ravens face the New England Patriots in Baltimore.
It's been a brutal 2025 season for the Ravens, whose Super Bowl ambitions have seemingly only taken on water as the season progresses, and their Sunday Night Football matchup in Week 16 couldn't be much tougher as they take on the 11-3 Patriots. The Patriots find themselves in an urgent mode too after losing to the Bills last week, so the Ravens won't catch the Patriots sleepwalking here. The Ravens do have the homefield advantage on their side, though, which is presumably why they're favored by 3.5 points with the over/under at 48.5.
QUARTERBACK
Lamar Jackson ($10600 DK, $12200 FD) is normally an auto-pick at prices like these on a single-game slate, but it's not clear whether Jackson will be fully healthy anytime soon and certainly hasn't been to this point since his hamstring injury struck. It's still tough to fade Jackson, but he has just two games of 20 or more fantasy points in his seven since returning. The Patriots run defense is generally tough and while Jackson is capable of hurting them as a passer, he might need to make repeated tough throws with less than favorable down-and-distance details.
Drake Maye ($10800 DK, $12600 FD) is doubtlessly looking to bounce back after a bad showing against Buffalo last week, and the Ravens pass rush should at least be less than threatening. The coverage personnel is about as good as it gets, though, so throwing for big volume might not be especially feasible. Maye has shown the ability to produce explosively and with high touchdown production even on modest usage, but he still doesn't have a game with 300 yards passing in 2025.
RUNNING BACK
TreVeyon Henderson ($9600 DK, $11400 FD) has been red-hot lately and will likely be one of the most popular plays of the slate. The Patriots probably need a good game from Henderson to safely project for the win, so he's arguably a primary component of any lineup card supposing a Patriots victory. Rhamondre Stevenson ($5600 DK, $8600 FD) remains involved for roughly half of the running back snaps in New England and if he does enough as a pass catcher there's a way for both Henderson and Stevenson to prove cashing-viable, even on the same lineup cards. The Ravens run defense is not a pushover but they don't have as much depth in their run defense personnel as they do at corner.
Derrick Henry ($10200 DK, $13000 FD) gets a tough draw here against a Patriots defense allowing just 3.8 yards per carry and five rushing touchdowns on the year to opposing running backs. If Henry has a strong game it would probably be a bad sign for the Patriots' odds of winning, because to this point their winning formula has featured consistently strong run defense. If you're picking the Patriots to win, on the other hand, it's easier to skip Henry when building your lineup. Keaton Mitchell ($3000 DK, $4000 FD) is a firecracker but his limited snap count limits him to punt-play viability.
WIDE RECEIVER + TIGHT END
Stefon Diggs ($8600 DK, $9400 FD) is a tough call given his hit-or-miss fantasy viability this year, but Diggs' per-snap production is unambiguously very good. The Patriots for some reason tend to limit Diggs to around 30 snaps per game, however, giving more snaps instead to Kayshon Boutte ($7200 DK, $7400 FD) and Mack Hollins ($4800 DK, $7800 FD), so there are inevitable cold streaks in Diggs' game log with such brief windows to do his damage. The Patriots could really use Diggs in this critical moment, though, so if there's anything more to cut loose now would be the time for them to do it. Hunter Henry ($6400 DK, $7200 FD) has shown a very low weekly floor all year but has also shown twice the ability to lead the Patriots in pass-catching production. The Ravens have not been prohibitively tough on tight ends this year, and if the corner reps diminish the returns for the wideouts then there could be slack for Henry to exploit. Austin Hooper is the distant TE2 but a justifiable punt play.
Zay Flowers ($9000 DK, $10200 FD) will see a lot of Christian Gonzalez but it's still tough to fade Flowers in a game where the Ravens need him so badly. Flowers' quickness and stop/start ability could be tough for Gonzalez, who is a great corner but probably would rather face receivers whose strides are longer like his. Rashod Bateman is more difficult to trust and has been a clear disappointment in 2025, but Bateman continues to run as the clear WR2 after Flowers. Rather than Bateman it's often one of the tight ends, Mark Andrews ($5400 DK, $8200 FD) or Isaiah Likely ($4400 DK, $7000 FD), who proves the second-most productive pass catcher after Flowers. The Patriots have largely struggled against tight ends in 2025, making one or both of Andrews and Likely intriguing. DeAndre Hopkins is a justifiable punt play but tends to play around 20 or fewer snaps.
KICKER
Both of the rookie kickers in this game have shown well in 2025 and could very well be on trajectories to emerge among the better kickers in the league soon. Similarly, with a generous over/under and two capable quarterbacks in this game, either or both kickers could make for cashing-viable picks in this slate.
Tyler Loop ($5000 DK, $6400 FD) kicks for the slightly-favored home team and knocked down 26 of his 28 field goal attempts to this point. Loop might not have much range and has seen no long-range opportunity in the meantime, making only one of three attempts beyond 50 yards, but Loop has been entirely automatic on his 26 field goals within 50 yards. Loop has seven games with double-digit fantasy points this year.
Andy Borregales ($5200 DK, $6600 FD) has largely been the same as Loop – perhaps lacking in range, but borderline automatic within 50. Borregales made 24 of 27 field goals overall, making all three of his otherwise meager three attempts from beyond 50. Borregales has five games with double-digit fantasy points and with higher ceilings than Loop, whose high of 14 points was exceeded twice by Borregales (15 and 18).
DEFENSE/SPECIAL TEAMS
The 48.5 over/under could prove high of course, but if not this generally projects as a game where neither defense is on the clear attack.
The Ravens ($4000 DK, $6200 FD) have a strong secondary at the moment and Drake Maye could be forgiven if he had an off game, but the way Maye has played in general would seemingly put the pressure more so on the defense. The pass rush remains unimpressive for Baltimore and their run defense can have its depth tested.
The Patriots ($3600 DK, $6800 FD) defense is likely better against the run than Baltimore's, and the pass rush is likely slightly better, especially from the interior. If Lamar Jackson is fully healthy then he can sometimes dictate an overruling presence even against a tough defense, but if Jackson is that version of himself here then it would be the first time he appeared since the hamstring injury struck.
