This article is part of our DFS NFL series.
The Games
| Over/Under | Road Team | Road Implied Total | Home Team | Home Implied Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.5 | Dallas Cowboys | 28.75 | Washington Commanders | 21.75 |
| 44.0 | Detroit Lions | 25.75 | Minnesota Vikings | 18.25 |
| 37.0 | Denver Broncos | 25.0 | Kansas City Chiefs | 12 |
Quarterback
Dak Prescott 
at WAS ($6,900 DK, $8,500 FD): Prescott carved up the Commanders in their earlier meeting this season, completing 21-of-30 passes for 264 yards and three touchdowns. The Cowboys have the highest implied point total on the slate, and Dak will be likely be the highest rostered QB as a result.
Bo Nix 
at KC ($6,000 DK, $7,500 FD): The Chiefs are in disarray with QBs Patrick Mahomes and Gardner Minshew both tearing ACL's in back-to-back weeks, so expect the Broncos to have the ball often. Cam Ward had his second best game of the season against Kansas City last week, completing 75 percent of his passes and throwing two TDs.
Contrarian Play: Josh Johnson 
vs. DAL ($4,400 DK, $6,300 FD)
Running Back
Jahmyr Gibbs 
at MIN ($8,300 DK, $9,400 FD): Gibbs is the most obvious play on the slate and someone to fade only if you're looking to be unique. Even though he's struggled with efficiency lately, Gibbs has made up for it either by finding the end zone or through the receiving game. David Montgomery is also questionable with an illness.
RJ Harvey at KC ($6,500 DK, $7,300 FD): Denver is a massive 13-point favorite, so the game script should favor the running game. Harvey has reached double-digit DK points in four consecutive games and even in a tough matchup with Jacksonville last week, he managed 121 total yards and a score.
Aaron Jones 
vs. DET ($5,700 DK, $6,700 FD): With Jordan Mason out with an ankle injury and the Vikings having to turn back to rookie Max Brosmer with J.J. McCarthy out, Jones is in line for a significant workload Thursday. The veteran is coming off a season-high 85 rushing yards last week.
Contrarian Play: Isiah Pacheco 
vs. DEN ($5,100 DK, $6,000 FD)
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Wide Receiver
CeeDee Lamb at WAS ($7,600 DK, $8,900 FD): It's been difficult to determine which of Dallas' two star receivers will go off for a big game on a weekly basis. Last week it was George Pickens' turn (7-130-1), while Lamb had a 100-yard receiving performance the previous three weeks. Lamb also had 110 yards and a score against the Commanders in Week 7.
Jameson Williams at MIN ($6,400 DK, $6,900 FD): Since Dan Campbell took over play calling duties in Week 10, Williams has scored four times and reached 70 receiving yards six times after only doing it once across the previous eight games. Note that Amon-Ra St. Brown is questionable with a knee injury.
Courtland Sutton at KC ($6,000 DK, $7,100 FD): The Broncos have made it a point to get their No. 1 receiver the ball as of late, as Sutton has seen at least 10 targets in three straight games. That's resulted in back-to-back 20 DK point games, and he should benefit from facing a Chiefs defense that's going to be tired with how often it'll be on the field due to the expected offensive woes.
Contrarian Play: Troy Franklin at KC ($5,000 DK, $5,900 FD)
Tight End
Evan Engram at KC ($3,000 DK, $5,000 FD): I'm sounding like a broken record at this point, but it's hard not to load up on the Broncos, especially with half of the teams on the slate missing their starting QB. The TE slate is ugly Thursday, so I like spending down on Engram, who is at least in a good offensive spot and should see five targets.
Josh Oliver vs. DET ($2,800 DK, $4,500 FD): Oliver will get a chance to step up with T.J. Hockenson out for the first time this season. He caught a couple touchdowns a few weeks ago, and we know rookie QBs tend to rely on their TE as a security blanket.
Contrarian Play: Noah Gray vs. DEN ($2,500 DK, $4,300 FD)
Defense/Special Teams
The obvious choices on the slate are the Lions ($3,200 DK, $4,900 FD) and Broncos ($3,700 DK, $5,000 FD) considering both are going against QBs that began the season on the practice squad. In Brosmer's lone start this year, the Vikings failed to score, and he threw four interceptions - one of which was returned for a TD. The Commanders, Vikings and Chiefs are too risky for my liking, even if they will save you money. I'd rather save salary elsewhere.
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