Beating the Book: NFL Week 11 Picks Against the Spread & Score Predictions

Welcome to the NFL Week 11 edition of Beating the Book, where we give you NFL ATS picks for every game, every week.

I'll get right down to brass tacks: we enter Week 11 with a major addition to the Whalen family. The rumors are true – I did, in fact, become a father earlier this week, and I'm thrilled to report that mom and baby are both doing very well.

With that said, I've been home from the hospital for roughly two hours as I type this, so we'll be rolling out an abbreviated, picks-only version of Beating the Book this week and this week only. To be clear, the powers that be at RotoWire are NOT forcing me to write this article, but we're in the thick of the NFL season, and skipping a week of picks simply is not in my blood.

So please forgive me for the lack of write-ups, but if we're being honest, I'm running on about 3.5 hours of combined sleep the last two nights, so frankly I'm not sure I'd be providing much in terms of actionable NFL betting advice.

Best calls of Week 10:

• Saints +5.5 at Panthers
• Texans +1.5 vs. Jaguars

Worst calls of Week 10:

• Bills -9.5 at Dolphins
• Cardinals +6.5 at Seahawks

Last week: 6-8 ATS; 10-4 SU; best bet won (DET -7.5)

On the season: 78-69-2 ATS; 101-48-1 SU; 6-4 best bets

2024 season: 146-134-4 ATS; 195-89 SU; 7-12-2 best bets

Thursday Night Football

New York Jets at New England Patriots

Spread: Patriots -12.5

Total: 43.0

The pick: Patriots 31 – Jets 17

Sunday NFL Madrid Game

Washington Commanders at Miami Dolphins

Spread: Dolphins -2.5

Total: 47.5

The pick: Commanders 28 – Dolphins 26

Sunday Early Slate

Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons

Spread: Falcons -3.5

Total: 41.5

The pick: Falcons 24 – Panthers 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Buffalo Bills

Spread: Bills -6.0

Total: 47.5

The pick: Bills 28 – Buccaneers 24

Los Angeles Chargers at Jacksonville Jaguars

Spread: Chargers -3.0

Total: 43.5

The pick: Chargers 27 – Jaguars 17

Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

Spread: Vikings -2.5

Total: 47.5

The pick: Vikings 26 – Bears 23

Green Bay Packers at New York Giants

Spread: Packers -7.0

Total: 42.5

The pick: Packers 27 – Giants 17

Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers

Spread: Steelers -5.5

Total: 48.5

The pick: Steelers 34 – Bengals 27

Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans

Spread: Texans -6.0

Total: 37.5

The pick: Texans 23 – Titans 10

Sunday Afternoon Slate

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

Spread: 49ers -2.5

Total: 47.5

The pick: Cardinals 27 – 49ers 24

Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams

Spread: Rams -3.0

Total: 48.5

The pick: Rams 28 – Seahawks 27

Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns

Spread: Ravens -7.5

Total: 38.5

The pick: Ravens 21 – Browns 14

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Spread: Chiefs -3.5

Total: 45.0

The pick: Chiefs 27 – Broncos 17

Sunday Night Football

Detroit Lions at Philadelphia Eagles

Spread: Eagles -2.5

Total: 46.5

The pick: Lions 24 – Eagles 23

Monday Night Football

Dallas Cowboys at Las Vegas Raiders

Spread: Cowboys -3.5

Total: 50.5

The pick: Cowboys 30 – Raiders 25