Larsson has an all-around skill set that should be intriguing for fantasy purposes. However, the second-round pick proved to be an inefficient scorer as a rookie. He showed improvements during Summer League, but his role in Year 2 remains unclear. With the Jimmy Butler era over, Miami will be looking for a new identity in 2025-26. Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware and Andrew Wiggins all return to starting roles, while newcomer Norman Powell will likely take the fifth spot. That leaves Larsson to compete for playing time with Terry Rozier, Davion Mitchell, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez, Simone Fontecchio and Keshad Johnson. While Larsson has potential, the Heat may not prioritize developmental minutes until later in the season. However, he may begin the season as part of the Opening Night rotation, considering Herro is unlikely to be available until around mid-November due to offseason foot surgery. Larsson still doesn't need to be drafted, but fantasy managers should monitor him early on and throughout the campaign. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a two-year, $3.11 million contract with the Heat in July of 2024. Contract includes $2.3 million team option for 2026-27.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary
Larsson played four years at the college level, spending his freshman year with Utah and the subsequent three campaigns with Arizona. Larsson started in 18 of his 25 appearances as a freshman for the Utes, averaging 8.2 points, 3.2 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. He moved to Arizona as a sophomore, but his tenure with the Wildcats didn't begin well, as Larsson started in just two of his 37 appearances while logging a career-low 20.7 minutes per game. Larsson started 18 times in his junior year and experienced a statistical uptick across the board, but he would break out for good in his senior year. Larsson started in each of his 36 appearances with the Wildcats in 2023-24, averaging 12.8 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists per game while shooting an impressive 51.9% from the field and an elite 42.6% from beyond the arc. Larsson was named to the 2023-24 All-Pac 12 Second Team, a year in which he also finished sixth in assists per game. A 6-foot-5 guard with a strong frame, Larsson already looks the part of an NBA player who should be capable of holding his own on the defensive end. However, his biggest asset lies on offense, as he's emerged as a reliable shooter, both in catch-and-shoot and off-ball situations. Due to his athleticism and strong frame, he's a threat when finishing at the rim, but there's a strong chance his offensive game at the next level will rely primarily on his shooting ability. Larsson can also thrive in pick-and-roll situations, particularly as the ball-handler due to his excellent vision. Larsson can potentially fulfill the role of a secondary ball-handler at the NBA level, though he'd thrive even more as a catch-and-shoot alternative with enough athleticism to attack the rim if given enough space. Defensively, he should be ready to make an impact at the next level since he's a shooting guard with the build of a small forward, though he doesn't profile to be a difference-making presence on that end of the floor. Larsson's mold can be found often in the NBA right now. He's a versatile guard who can defend multiple positions while emerging as a reliable catch-and-shoot threat, with the possibility of an even more significant role on offense if his game keeps developing. That should warrant a long career in The Association, as teams all over the league have the need for a competent wing who can make his presence felt on both ends of the court.
Notches team-high nine assists
FMiami Heat
January 21, 2026
Larsson accumulated 16 points (7-9 FG, 0-1 3Pt, 2-3 FT), six rebounds, nine assists and one steal over 26 minutes during Tuesday's 130-117 victory over the Kings.
ANALYSIS Larsson found his way back into the starting lineup, as the first unit slid over and slotted him in to replace Kel-el Ware (hamstring). Although not yet relevant in fantasy, Larsson has shown improvement over his rookie season, averaging 9.5 points, 3.2 assists, and 2.9 rebounds over 36 games.
2024 NBA Per Game Split Stats - Starting/Off Bench
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2024 NBA Per Game Split Stats - Days Rest
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2024 NBA Per Game Split Stats - Vs Opp
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2024 NBA Per Game Split Stats - By Result
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Advanced Stats
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2025
2024
Stat Review
How does Pelle Larsson compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
True Shooting %
An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
Effective Field Goal %
A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
3-Point Attempt Rate
Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
Free Throw Rate
Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
Offensive Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Defensive Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Total Rebound %
An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
Assist %
An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
Steal %
An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
Block %
An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
Turnover %
An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
Usage %
An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
Fantasy Points Per Game
NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
Fantasy Points Per Minute
NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
57.4%
Effective Field Goal %
53.5%
3-Point Attempt Rate
40.2%
Free Throw Rate
34.0%
Offensive Rebound %
3.2%
Defensive Rebound %
9.7%
Total Rebound %
6.4%
Assist %
18.5%
Steal %
1.0%
Block %
0.9%
Turnover %
7.3%
Usage %
16.2%
Fantasy Points Per Game
19.2
Fantasy Points Per Minute
0.8
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Total
Per Game
Per 36
NBA Historical Fantasy Stats
How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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NBA Per Game Historical Fantasy Stats
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NBA Per 36 Historical Fantasy Stats
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Historical ADP
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Heat Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Pelle Larsson was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
Minutes
FanDuel
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Yahoo
FantasyDraft
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Sorare
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ANALYSIS Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
All-around performance vs. Thunder
FMiami Heat
January 12, 2026
Larsson closed Sunday's 124-112 loss to the Thunder with 16 points (6-11 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 3-4 FT), three rebounds, three assists, one block and one steal across 28 minutes.
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Starting sans Powell
FMiami Heat
January 11, 2026
Larsson is in the Heat's starting lineup against the Thunder on Sunday.
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Shakes off finger injury
FMiami Heat
January 4, 2026
Larsson exited Sunday's game against the Pelicans in the third quarter with a left middle finger injury, but he returned with 8:48 remaining in the fourth.
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ANALYSIS "He's owned these minutes," Spoelstra said. "He makes you play him, because he does so many of the intangible things. He really elevates the units that he plays in, just with energy, his toughness, winning plays, all that." Larsson has won a starting spot in Miami, producing averages of 12.1 points, 3.6 assists and 3.4 rebounds in an eight-game sample size. During that stretch, he also shot an uber-efficient 58.1 percent from the field.