Chet Holmgren

Chet Holmgren

23-Year-Old CenterC
Oklahoma City Thunder
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Holmgren missed his true rookie season due to a broken foot and debuted two seasons ago, putting together a great campaign that resulted in a second-place Rookie of the Year finish. Last season was also hampered by injury - this time, a broken hip limited Holmgren to just 32 appearances. Still, he played well as Oklahoma City's No. 3 option, and it ultimately resulted in a championship, plus a five-year maximum contract extension. In Holmgren's 27.4 minutes per game, he averaged 15.0 points and 1.4 threes on 49/38/75 shooting, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists and 2.2 blocks. In terms of fantasy production, it was technically worse than his rookie season. However, it's important to keep in mind his limited minutes due to injury and the Thunder's blowout wins amid their dominant 68-win season. The next step in Holmgren's game, more than anything, will be staying healthy and crossing the 30-minute threshold. Increased minutes alone could vault Holmgren into second-round fantasy value, putting aside any potential development. Development for Holmgren should primarily focus on improving efficiency. Increased playmaking volume may be tough to come by while Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams are ahead of him in the pecking order. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Current Season
From Preseason
#43
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $240.7 million contract extension with the Thunder in July of 2025.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Chet Thomas Holmgren was born May 1, 2002 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Holmgren's father, Dave, is also seven feet tall and played 57 games of college basketball for Minnesota. His father helped him develop his game growing up. Chet started attending Minnehaha Academy - a private school in Minneapolis - in sixth grade, when he stood 6-foot-2. He played alongside NBA player Jalen Suggs from then through high school. The school won its second straight Class 2A state championship while Holmgren was a freshman. However, Holmgren's breakout year was as a sophomore, when he averaged 18.6 points and 11.0 rebounds and also secured another state title. He also played AAU ball for Grassroots Sizzle and won tournament MVP at the Under Amour Association. As a junior, Holmgren averaged 14.3 points per game. As a senior, he averaged 21.0 points and 12.3 boards and won the Class 3A state title. Holmgren was also named Gatorade National Player of the Year among various other awards. According to ESPN, Holmgren was the No. 1 player in the 2021 class. The big recruit decided to play college ball at Gonzaga. During his college debut for the Bulldogs, Holmgren posted 14 points, 13 boards, seven blocks and six assists, becoming the first college player in a quarter-century to record at least 10 points, 10 rebounds, five assists and five blocks in a debut. Starting 31 of 32 appearances, Holmgren averaged 14.1 points, 9.9 rebounds, 3.7 blocks and 1.9 assists over 26.9 minutes per contest. He was named WCC Newcomer of the Year, WCC Defensive Player of the Year and was Consensus All-American Second Team. After his freshman season, Holmgren declared for the 2022 NBA Draft and was selected with the number two pick by the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Solid in blowout win
COklahoma City Thunder
December 6, 2025
Holmgren closed Friday's 132-111 win over the Mavericks with 15 points (6-11 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), eight rebounds, one assist and one block in 23 minutes.
ANALYSIS
Holmgren and teammate Jalen Williams posted nearly identical box scores as each finished with 15 points and eight rebounds. Oklahoma City separated from Dallas in the third quarter, which limited his output. It's been a while since Holmgren tallied a double-double. After collecting three in the first four games of the year, the Gonzaga product's lone other double-double was back on Nov. 11.
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Stat Review
How does Chet Holmgren compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
65.6%
 
Effective Field Goal %
61.9%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
32.3%
 
Free Throw Rate
31.0%
 
Offensive Rebound %
6.2%
 
Defensive Rebound %
23.0%
 
Total Rebound %
15.1%
 
Assist %
9.0%
 
Steal %
0.9%
 
Block %
4.9%
 
Turnover %
11.5%
 
Usage %
23.6%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
34.5
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
1.2
 
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How are these ratings calculated?
Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Chet Holmgren was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
After missing the entirety of his rookie season due to a foot injury, Holmgren comes into the 2023-24 season with hype. While it is a very small sample size, Holmgren's numbers at the recent Summer League did very little to dampen the spirits of prospective managers. Across four games, he averaged 16.5 points, 9.8 rebounds, 1.0 steals and 3.5 blocks. His percentages were serviceable, coming in at 48.9 percent from the field and 73.1 percent from the line. Obviously, the block numbers are an immediate takeaway, something his fantasy game is likely to be reliant on. He has the ability to stretch the floor, but as we saw in Las Vegas, he only connected on 0.3 three-pointers per game. He should open the regular season as the Thunder's starting center, providing him with an opportunity to be a fantasy-relevant player right out of the gate. The Thunder are a team on the rise, meaning he could very well be the third or even fourth option on offense at times. Coming off a foot injury could steer some managers in another direction. His upside on the defensive end should be enough to keep him afloat, even if his offensive game takes a while to come along. Walker Kessler finished as a fifth-round asset last season, blocking 2.3 shots per game. His offensive game is certainly a work in progress, averaging just 9.2 points. It's reasonably safe to assume Holmgren will average double-digit points, while potentially blocking more than two shots per game. Based on this very loose logic, managers should be looking to target him anywhere around pick 60.
Holmgren, the No. 2 overall pick in the 2022 NBA Draft, will miss the entire 2022-23 season due to a Lisfranc injury to his right foot. Obviously, he shouldn't be drafted in year-long leagues. However, managers in dynasty/keeper formats should still view Holmgren as a high-end prospect with arguably the highest fantasy ceiling of any player in the 2022 NBA Draft class.
More Fantasy News
Scoring efficiently
COklahoma City Thunder
December 3, 2025
Holmgren posted 21 points (8-12 FG, 2-3 3Pt, 3-3 FT), eight rebounds, three assists and one block across 30 minutes during Tuesday's 124-112 victory over the Warriors.
ANALYSIS
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Comes close to double-double
COklahoma City Thunder
December 1, 2025
Holmgren produced 19 points (9-15 FG, 1-4 FT), nine rebounds, one assist, three blocks and one steal over 30 minutes before fouling out of Sunday's 123-115 win over the Trail Blazers.
ANALYSIS
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Hits for 23 in win over Phoenix
COklahoma City Thunder
November 29, 2025
Holmgren posted 23 points (8-13 FG, 2-5 3Pt, 5-6 FT), eight rebounds and one assist across 32 minutes during Friday's 123-119 victory over the Suns.
ANALYSIS
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Scores 12 points with nine boards
COklahoma City Thunder
November 26, 2025
Holmgren closed with 12 points (4-12 FG, 2-4 3Pt, 2-2 FT), nine rebounds, two assists, one block and one steal in 29 minutes during Wednesday's 113-105 win over the Timberwolves.
ANALYSIS
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Minimal impact vs. Portland
COklahoma City Thunder
November 24, 2025
Holmgren finished Sunday's 122-95 victory over the Trail Blazers with five points (2-8 FG, 0-3 3Pt, 1-2 FT), nine rebounds, four assists and three blocks over 25 minutes.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Max extension on the way?
COklahoma City Thunder
June 24, 2025
Holmgren is likely to receive a massive rookie-scale extension from the Thunder, Michael Scotto of USA Today reports.
ANALYSIS
Both Jalen Williams and Holmgren could receive maximum extensions following Oklahoma City's championship run, though it's possible they take a slight discount to give the franchise more flexibility. Playing in his second NBA season, Holmgren made 32 regular-season appearances and posted averages of 15.0 points, 8.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 2.2 blocks, 0.7 steals and 1.4 three-pointers on 49.0 percent from the field.
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