This article is part of our NBA Picks series.
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Best NBA Bets Today (Sunday, Jan. 11)
Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings: Over 222.5 total points, -105 @ FanDuel
The Rockets rank as the eighth-best offense in the NBA, averaging 118.5 points per game, which makes perfect sense given this is an offensive scheme led by two dominant forces in Kevin Durant and Alperen Sengun (ankle). Sengun is questionable to play Sunday, but even if the star big man is out, it's not as if the Kings are at full strength. Sacramento will be without Domantas Sabonis (knee) and Dennis Schroder (suspension), but the other reliable offensive weapons, like DeMar DeRozan, Zach LaVine and Maxime Raynaud, should all handle their regular workloads.
Sacramento ranks second-worst in the NBA at 109.8 points per game, and only the Brooklyn Nets (109.1 points per game) have posted worse numbers on that side of the ball. This looks like an easy matchup for the Rockets, even on the road. Each of the Rockets' last five games has had under 220 total points, so it's tempting to bet on the under. However, the Rockets should deliver a bounce-back performance against Sacramento's struggling defense, so feel confident in going with the over here.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors: Warriors to cover -5.5 spread, -115 @ BetMGM
The Trae Young era is no longer a thing in Atlanta, as the Hawks decided to part ways with the star floor general and sent him to the Wizards earlier this week in exchange for CJ McCollum and Corey Kispert. Both McCollum and Kispert should be available in this game, but it's always hard for new teams to integrate their new players into an established rotation.
As much as the Warriors have struggled with consistency this season, they're averaging a solid 118.3 points per game at home this season, which is the 10th-best mark in the NBA. If the Warriors take advantage of all the adjustments the Hawks have to go through on both ends of the court, it wouldn't be odd to see them cover the spread at home. The Warriors have gone 10-8-0 ATS at home this season, and they've covered the 5.5-point game in five of their last six at Chase Center, going 5-1 over that stretch.
Washington Wizards vs. Phoenix Suns: Over 229.5 total points, -110 @ Caesars
Similar to the Hawks above, one could expect the Wizards to make adjustments to accommodate Young. However, since the star guard has been ruled out for Sunday's game due to quadriceps and knee injuries, the Wizards won't have to adjust their rotation yet. If there's one thing that has characterized the Wizards this season, their games tend to be high-scoring affairs. Each of their last four games has reached the 230-point mark, and it wouldn't be shocking if that outcome happens once again here.
The Suns aren't known for their defense, but they have one of the most dangerous scorers in the league in Devin Booker (25.5 points per game) and rank seventh in the NBA in three-point shooting at home (37.5 percent). Meanwhile, the Wizards are allowing opposing teams to convert on 36.8 percent of their treys away from home. Ultimately, both Phoenix and Washington are better offensively than defensively, and that could set up a high-scoring contest.
