T.J. Nichols

23-Year-Old PitcherP
Tampa Bay Rays AA
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Nichols dominated in six starts at Double-A to close 2025, logging a 0.97 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 37:9 K:BB in 37 innings. The 6-foot-5 righty was promoted from High-A Bowling Green on Aug. 5 after logging a 3.63 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 119:21 K:BB in 96.2 innings for the Hot Rods. Nichols had three double-digit strikeout games last season, including 10 Ks in seven innings of one-run ball in an Aug. 28 start against Biloxi. He operates with a plus fastball and plus slider while his changeup lags behind as a distant third pitch. He gave up 16 homers in 262 plate appearances against lefties last year, so figuring out a way to combat opposite-handed hitters will be a point of emphasis in 2026. The Rays don't typically rush pitchers to the big-league rotation, so Nichols, who isn't on the 40-man roster, will probably spend most or all of 2026 in the upper minors. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
From Preseason
$Signed a $304,800 contract with the Rays in July of 2023.
Dominating to close 2025
PTampa Bay Rays  AA
September 4, 2025
Nichols has a 1.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 26:5 K:BB in 25 innings over four starts for Double-A Montgomery.
Analysis
The 6-foot-5 righty was promoted from High-A Bowling Green on Aug. 5 after logging a 3.63 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 119:21 K:BB in 96.2 innings for the Hot Rods. Nichols has three double-digit strikeout games this season, including 10 Ks in seven innings of one-run ball in his most recent start Aug. 28 against Biloxi. He doesn't have pronounced splits and his changeup seems to have emerged as a viable third pitch to go with his above-average fastball and plus slider. The Rays don't typically rush pitchers to the big-league rotation, so Nichols, who doesn't need to be added to the 40-man roster this offseason, will probably spend most or all of 2026 in the upper minors.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AA)
Since 2023
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .145 59 22 3 8 2 0 1
Since 2023vs Right .212 73 15 6 14 4 0 0
2025vs Left .145 59 22 3 8 2 0 1
2025vs Right .212 73 15 6 14 4 0 0
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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