2025 Stats
W-L
7-3
ERA
3.39
WHIP
1.07
K
132
SV
1
2026 Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Despite being the team's most consistent starter in 2024, Nelson was shifted to the bullpen in 2025 to make room for free agent Corbin Burnes. How fitting that Burnes' elbow surgery (and Tommy John surgery) got Nelson back into the rotation. The right-hander was a top pitcher on the staff for a second consecutive season. In 23 starts, Nelson pitched 128 innings with a 3.16 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. Arizona will commit to Nelson in the rotation to start 2026, as Burnes will be unavailable until at least the second half, and Zac Gallen rejected a qualifying offer. While Nelson's performed well as a starter the last two seasons, there are some warning signs. He's heavily reliant on his four-seamer (61.7 percent usage) and defense dependent (7.7 K/9). The next highest pitch was his cutter (12.2 percent). If he continues to locate the fastball (+23 Run Value), limit walks, and mix in more of the secondary offerings, Nelson could become more than a mid-rotation starter. Read Past Outlooks
Overcomes early trouble
Nelson allowed two runs on three hits and struck out three over 2.2 innings in Thursday's start against the Cubs.
Analysis
Nelson was knocked around in the first inning before settling in to retire the final seven batters he faced in his second Cactus League start. He upped his pitch count to 42 (30 strikes). "Honestly, it felt like the stuff was good," Nelson told Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports. "Pretty happy with how everything's coming out right now. Just got to clean a couple things up." The right-hander is looking to add more secondary offerings to complement the four-seamer that he threw 62 percent of the time in 2025. On Thursday, Nelson threw 20 four-seamers along with 11 cutters and nine curveballs.
Nelson was knocked around in the first inning before settling in to retire the final seven batters he faced in his second Cactus League start. He upped his pitch count to 42 (30 strikes). "Honestly, it felt like the stuff was good," Nelson told Alex Weiner of Arizona Sports. "Pretty happy with how everything's coming out right now. Just got to clean a couple things up." The right-hander is looking to add more secondary offerings to complement the four-seamer that he threw 62 percent of the time in 2025. On Thursday, Nelson threw 20 four-seamers along with 11 cutters and nine curveballs.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
95
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Ryne Nelson generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Ryne Nelson generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2025
-20%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .243 | 154 | 73 | 197 | 24 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .267 | 200 | 48 | 241 | 34 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .191 | 54 | 20 | 50 | 5 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .239 | 78 | 21 | 74 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .243 | 58 | 20 | 70 | 10 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .288 | 68 | 14 | 85 | 7 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .294 | 42 | 33 | 77 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .276 | 54 | 13 | 82 | 15 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-19%
ERA on Road
2025
-36%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.77 | 1.32 | 207.2 | 6.8 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 3.88 | 1.18 | 241.0 | 7.3 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.71 | 0.97 | 86.1 | 7.7 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2025Away | 4.26 | 1.20 | 67.2 | 7.7 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.52 | 1.26 | 65.2 | 7.3 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.02 | 1.25 | 85.0 | 7.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 8.25 | 1.92 | 55.2 | 5.0 | 3.7 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.46 | 1.11 | 88.1 | 6.6 | 2.3 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ryne Nelson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.22K/9
7.7BB/9
2.4HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.7 mphERA
3.39WHIP
1.07BABIP
.261GB/FB
1.19Left On Base
72.9%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
3.5%Spin Rate
2297 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.0%Swinging Strike
10.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Nelson's improved strike-throwing ability in spring training earned him a spot in the Diamondbacks' rotation in 2024. He maintained that skill into the regular season and finished with 10 wins and the second-most innings among Arizona starters. The 26-year-old right-hander upped his strikeout rate to 20.0 percent (from 15.5 in 2023), moving from the sixth percentile to the 26th. An already good walk rate got better, while he shaved one run off his ERA (5.31 to 4.24) and cut down on home runs. In a promising sign, Nelson's performance improved deeper into the season, posting a 3.23 ERA and 28.7 K% over the second half. Still very much a two-pitch pitcher (fastballs and cutters), developing a third pitch might continue the righty's upward trajectory. There was enough development in his performance last year that he should not need to compete for a rotation spot in 2025, but Arizona signed free agent Corbin Burnes, which could push Nelson to the bullpen.
More Fantasy News
Retires all six batters
Nelson struck out three over two hitless and scoreless innings in Friday's spring start against Seattle.
Analysis
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Prepared for 30-plus starts
Nelson focused on getting physically stronger this offseason so that he can handle the rigors of 30 or more starts in 2026, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Reaches deal with Arizona
Nelson and the Diamondbacks agreed to a one-year, $3 million contract to avoid arbitration Thursday, Jack Sommers of DBacks on SI.com reports.
Analysis
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Racks up season-high nine punchouts
Nelson allowed three runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out nine batters over six innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers on Wednesday.
Analysis
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Goes five innings in no-decision
Nelson allowed two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out one over five innings in a no-decision versus the Phillies on Friday.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension candidate?
Nelson is entering his first year of arbitration eligibility, which could prompt the Diamondbacks to pursue a contract extension, reports Jack Sommers of SI.com.
Analysis
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.
The right-hander opened 2025 in a long-relief role but ended up starting in 23 of his 33 appearances since Corbin Burnes required Tommy John surgery in June. Nelson solidified his place in the rotation and finished the campaign with a 3.39 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 132:41 K:BB across 154 innings. He's projected to make about $2.4 million in his first season of arbitration eligibility, per Jack Sommers of SI.com, but Arizona could instead look to secure his services long-term.