2025 Stats
W-L
1-5
ERA
3.90
WHIP
1.43
K
49
SV
4
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Topa will look to re-establish himself as a key setup man after essentially a lost season. He began 2024 on the injured list due to left patellar tendinitis and then suffered a small tear in his left patellar tendon while rehabbing in late May. Topa finally returned to throw 2.1 innings in September. He throws a bowling-ball sinker that can reach the high 90-mph range and his slider can be a swing-and-miss weapon. He generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile in 2023. He still holds some promise as a setup man if he can shake his injury woes from last year. Read Past Outlooks
Avoids arbitration with Twins
The Twins and Topa avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year contract Friday, Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Darren Wolfson of Channel 5 Saint Paul says the deal is worth $1.225 million. Topa had been viewed as a non-tender candidate, but he will stick around and could be a high-leverage reliever again on a Twins team unlikely to make any big offseason bullpen additions. The righty held a 3.90 ERA and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings in 2025, posting a 46.7 percent groundball rate along the way.
Darren Wolfson of Channel 5 Saint Paul says the deal is worth $1.225 million. Topa had been viewed as a non-tender candidate, but he will stick around and could be a high-leverage reliever again on a Twins team unlikely to make any big offseason bullpen additions. The righty held a 3.90 ERA and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings in 2025, posting a 46.7 percent groundball rate along the way.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
18
Last 10 Games
23
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Justin Topa generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Justin Topa generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-14%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .263 | 42 | 21 | 52 | 3 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .255 | 70 | 15 | 78 | 3 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .305 | 18 | 11 | 32 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .263 | 31 | 7 | 36 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .200 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .216 | 23 | 10 | 19 | 2 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .253 | 38 | 8 | 42 | 2 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-54%
ERA on Road
2025
-75%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 4.36 | 1.50 | 64.0 | 8.4 | 2.7 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 2.00 | 1.04 | 67.1 | 7.0 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 6.16 | 1.73 | 30.2 | 7.3 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2025Away | 1.53 | 1.13 | 29.1 | 7.4 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0.00 | 0.43 | 2.1 | 7.7 | 0.0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2023Home | 2.90 | 1.35 | 31.0 | 9.6 | 2.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 2.37 | 0.97 | 38.0 | 6.6 | 1.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Justin Topa compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.72K/9
7.4BB/9
2.7HR/9
0.3Fastball
94.2 mphERA
3.90WHIP
1.43BABIP
.354GB/FB
1.90Left On Base
64.9%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
4.3%Spin Rate
2265 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
29.9%Swinging Strike
8.2%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2021
With two Tommy John surgeries and only 18.1 major league innings on his resume, Topa looked healthy during spring training after Seattle acquired him via trade last January. The 32-year-old didn't break camp with the Mariners, but he was recalled early in the season and given opportunities to pitch in a setup role. With health prevailing, Topa pitched a career-high 69 innings across 75 appearances (T-2nd among relievers) and finished with 5 wins, 3 saves and 24 holds (T-11th). With a sinker-heavy approach (-8 degree launch angle on batted balls), the right-hander generated a 56.7% groundball rate that was in the 94th percentile. He also implemented a successful cutter against left-handed batters. Topa figures to open 2024 as one of Minnesota's primary setup men after a January trade from Seattle and is a solid target in leagues that count holds, but don't dismiss the health risks that come along with clicking his name in the draft room.
More Fantasy News
Option declined, but arb eligible
The Twins declined Topa's $2 million option for 2026 on Thursday, Bobby Nightengale of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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On IL with oblique injury
The Twins placed Topa on the 15-day injured list Friday due to a left oblique strain.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with knee soreness
Topa was removed from his relief appearance in Sunday's 5-1 win over Kansas City in the ninth inning due to left knee discomfort, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports. "I had the doctor look at it and he said that structurally, everything looks good," said Topa.
ANALYSIS
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Can't rebound in loss, blown save
Topa (1-5) was charged with the loss and a blown save in a 4-3 defeat to the White Sox on Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and no walks with one strikeout in two-thirds of an inning.
ANALYSIS
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Secures save Tuesday
Topa allowed a run on two hits in one inning of work while earning a save over Toronto on Tuesday. He struck out one batter.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could lose roster spot
Topa is a candidate to be non-tendered by the Twins ahead of Friday's roster deadline, report Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Minnesota recently declined Topa's $2 million option for 2026, but he remains under team control through the arbitration process. The right-hander's estimated salary for next season is around $1.7 million, which isn't a significant difference from the option the Twins already turned down. He was a solid bullpen piece for Minnesota last season with a 3.90 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings, but he's had trouble staying healthy since making his debut in 2020.
Minnesota recently declined Topa's $2 million option for 2026, but he remains under team control through the arbitration process. The right-hander's estimated salary for next season is around $1.7 million, which isn't a significant difference from the option the Twins already turned down. He was a solid bullpen piece for Minnesota last season with a 3.90 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 49:18 K:BB over 60 innings, but he's had trouble staying healthy since making his debut in 2020.