Braxton Garrett

28-Year-Old PitcherSP

Miami Marlins

2025 Stats

W-L

0-0

ERA

0.00

WHIP

0.00

2026 Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2026 Fantasy Outlook

Garrett missed the entirety of the 2025 season recovering from a UCL revision surgery which also required an internal brace in December. Garrett will be 14 months removed from surgery when pitchers and catchers report in 2026, but the last memories we have of him pitching was three impressive seasons of K-BB% with improving command. The 2024 ERA could be written off to an usustainable 60% left on base rate, but dreaming of an immediate return to 2023 production would be greedy. Garrett is more likely to come in somehwere closer to his 2022 numbers, which are good enough on the surface, but lack the volume necessary to be considered for mixed league draft day plans. NL-Only fantasy managers should take a flier in the end game. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

From Preseason

Dynasty

#425

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'2"

Weight 202

DOB 8/5/1997

Born Foley, AL

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2016 MIA

Sharp in Sunday's start

PMiami Marlins

March 9, 2026

Garrett allowed one run on one hit and one walk over three innings in Sunday's Grapefruit League game against the Cardinals. He struck out two.

Analysis
The southpaw threw 23 of 37 pitches for strikes, but while his line in the box score was good, Garrett wasn't able to match the velocity he's been flashing during batting practice sessions in camp. He sat just 91-92 mph with his four-seam fastball against the Cards and topping out at 93.6 mph. That would still be a step up from what he was showing prior to UCL revision surgery in December 2024, however, as the pitch averaged just 90.7 mph in 2024 and 90.8 mph in 2023. After not seeing game action at all in 2025, Garrett has been healthy to begin spring training and remains a favorite to open the season in the Miami rotation.

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Pitching Stats

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2024

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2020

2025 MLB Game Log

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2024 MLB Game Log

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-13%

BAA vs LHP

2025

No Stats

2024

-14%

BAA vs RHP

2023

-19%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2023vs Left	.227	194	47	13	40	7	1	4
Since 2023vs Right	.260	626	143	20	154	38	3	21
2025vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024vs Left	.294	38	8	2	10	2	0	1
2024vs Right	.254	123	26	2	30	6	0	4
2023vs Left	.211	156	39	11	30	5	1	3
2023vs Right	.261	503	117	18	124	32	3	17
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Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-47%

ERA on Road

2025

No Stats

2024

-71%

ERA on Road

2023

-36%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2023Home	5.18	1.29	99.0	3	5	0	9.5	1.5	1.4
Since 2023Away	2.76	1.01	97.2	8	4	0	7.8	1.5	0.9
2025Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2025Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Home	8.35	1.47	18.1	0	1	0	10.8	2.0	1.0
2024Away	2.41	0.91	18.2	2	1	0	5.8	0.0	1.4
2023Home	4.46	1.25	80.2	3	4	0	9.3	1.5	1.5
2023Away	2.85	1.04	79.0	6	3	0	8.3	1.8	0.8
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Prospect Rankings History

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2025

2024

2023

2021

2020

2018

2017

The left-hander was effective in 2023 during his first full season as an MLB starter with a 3.66 ERA across 159.2 innings, but he was limited to just seven outings in 2024. Garrett didn't make his season debut until mid-May due to a shoulder issue, and he returned to the injured list a month later due to a flexor strain in his forearm. He also suffered a setback in his rehab during September with an elbow impingement, but he's still expected to be available for the start of spring training. The results aren't worth considering too much given the sample size and injuries, but he had a 34:4 K:BB and 1.19 WHIP, which helped result in a 3.81 FIP. Garrett missed time due to Tommy John surgery shortly after being drafted in 2016, but other than that he's stayed mostly healthy throughout his professional career. The persistent arm issue last year provided justified cause for concern, and Garrett underwent Tommy John surgery again in January, which will sideline him for the full 2025 campaign.

Garrett's first full season in the big-league rotation was a rousing success, as he struck out more than five batters for every one he walked and maintained a 3.66 ERA over 159.2 innings. The seventh overall pick by Miami in 2016, he lost essentially two years of development time due to Tommy John surgery and the pandemic. While the left-hander doesn't light up the radar gun, the slider has proven to be a quality swing-and-miss pitch for him (40% Whiff the last two seasons). He keeps the ball on the ground and locates all six of his pitches for strikes. Those playing the fantasy game may find it tough to get excited about such a control-dependent pitcher lacking overpowering dominance (career 23.3 K%), but the skills point to a mid-3.00s ERA being sustainable. Still just 26, Garrett should be able to add innings to his 2023 total.

Garrett began the season with Triple-A Jacksonville, on the IL with a right shoulder impingement. When he was able to take the hill, Garrett pitched well for seven starts before being called up in early June. He initially struggled, at least on the surface a .411 BABIP and 67% LOB mark bloated his 5.24 ERA well over the associated 3.38 FIP and 3.68 xFIP. Regression ensued as Garrett recorded a 3.02 ERA and 1.10 WHIP the rest of the way, supported by a solid 25.4% K-BB% mark and 3.62 FIP and 3.45 xFIP. Garrett doesn't have the pedigree of some of his teammates, but he's always been able to miss bats and his control has improved over the last couple of seasons. Miami has a bevy of fledgling arms, but Garrett has a chance to break camp in the back end of their rotation. He checks all the boxes for a mixed league streamer.

Garrett was called upon to make a pair of starts for the Marlins last season despite having previously logged a single appearance above High-A ball. He fared well in his debut, allowing one run and striking out six over five innings, but was far less effective his next time out, yielding four earned runs in 2.2 frames. The southpaw doesn't throw hard -- he averaged less than 90 mph on his fastball in his two big-league appearances -- but has registered over a strikeout per inning over the course of his brief professional career thanks to a standout curveball and mature pitching acumen. Those skills could allow Garrett to ascend to a role as a solid mid-rotation starter, especially if he is able to bump up his velocity. He is likely to open 2021 at Triple-A but should be among the first in line for a big-league rotation spot should the opportunity become available.

Tommy John surgery delayed Garrett's professional development, but the No. 7 overall pick in 2016 finally logged his first full season and looked like a future No. 3 starter. A 22-year-old lefty with an excellent frame (6-foot-3, 190 pounds), Garrett features a low-90s fastball that can touch 95 mph, a plus curveball that has long been his calling card and an average changeup. He is still pretty projectable, so we could see his fastball add some juice and his changeup could be at least an above-average offering by the time he reaches the majors. He has an easy delivery that portends above-average command, and he showed last year (52.7 GB%) that he is already adept at inducing weak contact. This should be his final full season in the minors, opening at Double-A and finishing at Triple-A, with a 2021 MLB debut on tap if he stays healthy.

Garrett, who the Marlins selected with the No. 7 pick in the 2016 draft, only logged 15.1 innings in 2017 before eventually needing Tommy John surgery in late June. This, after he didn't pitch at all the year he was drafted as the Marlins attempted to exercise caution with his workload. Even though Garrett won't return to game action until July or August of this year, at the earliest, he is still one of the top prospects in a system that was essentially bare before this offseason's rebuild. A lefty with the potential for a plus fastball, plus curveball and above-average command, Garrett could top out as a No. 2 starter if his recovery goes perfectly and his changeup develops. The more likely outcome is that he develops into a No. 3 or No. 4 starter. Given how much his development is delayed, Garrett is unlikely to reach the majors until 2021 or 2022.

Garrett might be the safest of the high school arms from the 2016 draft class, which is an odd statement considering he is the only pitcher who was selected in the first 30 picks who has not yet pitched in a game. The Marlins opted to let Garrett take his time in his recovery from Tommy John surgery rather than rush him to an affiliate. He fell to the Marlins with the seventh pick, but his $4.15 million bonus ranks third in the class, reflecting his pre-draft pedigree. Unfortunately that pedigree does not quite translate over to fantasy. Garrett, a 6-foot-3, 190-pound southpaw, should be owned in leagues that roster 125-plus prospects, but he lacks frontline upside. A low-90s fastball and plus curveball lead a three-pitch mix, and if everything goes well, he will develop into a No. 3 starter. Jason Groome, Forrest Whitley, Riley Pint and Matt Manning are preferable investments among the prep arms from his draft class.

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Touching 95 mph in live BP

PMiami Marlins

February 12, 2026

Garrett was touching 95 mph in a live batting practice session Wednesday, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

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Cleared for start of camp

PMiami Marlins

February 11, 2026

Garrett (elbow) will be available to pitch this week as spring training gets underway, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

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Expected to be full-go in camp

PMiami Marlins

Elbow

February 6, 2026

Garrett (elbow) isn't expected to have any restrictions when spring training begins, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

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Avoids arbitration

PMiami Marlins

Elbow

January 8, 2026

The Marlins and Garrett (elbow) avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $1.53 million contract Thursday, Fish on First reports.

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Begins throwing program

PMiami Marlins

Elbow

June 16, 2025

Garrett (elbow) played catch Monday for the first time since having UCL revision surgery with an internal brace on his left elbow in December, Christina De Nicola of MLB.com reports.

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Likely trade chip

PMiami Marlins

June 2, 2024

According to Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic, the Marlins have received trade interest from multiple teams for their starting pitchers, including Garrett.

Analysis
Garrett missed the first six weeks of the campaign due to a shoulder injury and surrendered 11 runs in his first two starts, but he's given up just one run in his past two outings, one of which was a complete game shutout. The left-hander threw a career-high 159.2 innings last season and had a 3.66 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 156:29 K:BB. Garrett will enter his first year of arbitration eligibility in 2025, so the Marlins should net a sizable return in any potential trade.

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