This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Top MLB Betting Picks for August 3: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
Previous article 3-1 ( +1.99 units)
Season 105-109-2 (-6.25 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Bullpen Rankings as of 7.25.25 (xFIP, K/9, BB/9, HR/9 Last 30 Days)
Top 10 (Brewers, Cardinals, Astros, Marlins, Giants, Pirates, Phillies, Twins, Braves, Padres). These are teams you can feel confident betting in full-game situations.
Bottom 10 (Angels, Rockies, Orioles, Royals, Yankees, Reds, Nationals, Dodgers, Dbacks, Mets). These are teams you can feel confident betting against in full-game situations. If you want to bet these teams, only focus on the F5 inning lines.
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Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox Betting Insights
I know it sounds cliche, but sometimes its really as simple as finding the biggest pitching mismatch on the slate. It also helps when the home favorite is around close to even money on the run line. We have one of the hottest teams in baseball with the Red Sox and their ace Garrett Crochet going against Ryan Bergert making his Royals debut.
The Red Sox are 22-8 in their last 30, 14-6 last 20, and 8-2 last 10. They are also 38-21 at home and 16-4 at home in their last 20. Crochet is 12-4 with a 2.23 ERA and faced the Royals on May 10th going 7 innings, allowing just 1 earned run, and 9 strikeouts to 1 walk.
MLB Best Bets: Red Sox -1.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -110)
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San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates Best Bets and Predictions
This is a rematch of the July 30th game with Mike Burrows facing Logan Webb that saw the Pirates win 2-1 in extra innings. Much like how I doubled down on the Giants/Mets with Robbie Ray and David Peterson I will do the same here. The Pirates are offensively challenged to say the least and their ballpark plays more towards lower scoring to begin with.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 out of Pittsburgh's last 7 home games.
MLB Best Bets: Giants/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -115)
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New York Yankees vs Texas Rangers Best Bets and Predictions
The Yankees are now 21-30 in their last 51 games and still without their best player, Aaron Judge. The bullpen has been one of the worst in baseball during that period. They did make a lot of moves at the trade deadline, but they are still struggling. The Rangers are 13-7 last 20 and 18-12 last 30, but they are also 7-0 in their last 7 at home.
Nathan Eovaldi has been one of the best pitchers in baseball and his history against the current Yankees is strong. This is a big pitching mismatch with Eovaldi against Will Warren.
MLB Best Bets: Rangers ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -125)
MLB Picks Tuesday Recap
- Red Sox -1.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM -110)
- Giants/Pirates UNDER 7.5 runs for 1 unit (FanDuel -115)
- Rangers ML for 1 unit (BetMGM -125)
