This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Top MLB Betting Picks for August 29: Expert Predictions and Best Bets
Previous article 1-2 (-1.25 units)
Season 119-128-2 (-12.30 units)
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Key MLB Betting Trends and Matchups Analysis
Before locking in your MLB bets Friday, be sure to check out these key betting numbers.
As teams fall out of the playoff race, we will start to see inflated moneylines.
Road Favorites - Cubs -220 at Rockies, Yankees -215 at White Sox
Home Favorites - Dodgers -190 vs Dbacks, Phillies -180 vs Braves
Totals - Rockies/Cubs 10.5-11.0, Rangers/A's 10.0-10.5
4 games with totals at 7.5 runs
Line Movement - Reds -17, Braves -18, Jays -18, Mets -18
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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Best Bets and Predictions
The biggest pitching mismatch on the slate with Ranger Suarez against Bryce Elder. Not only is the Braves starting rotation in shambles, but their bullpen is not in great shape either. Suarez has been solid on the season with some bumps in the road, but he comes in off two incredible starts with totals of 21 strikeouts, 0 walks, and 2 earned runs. He faced the Braves on June 29th and went 7 innings allowing 1 earned run.
On the other side, Elder faced the Phillies on June 27th and was shelled. He lasted just 2 innings, allowing 9 earned runs. Combine that with his 7.11 ERA in his last 7 starts and the Phillies should be able to name their score tonight.
Best Bet: Phillies -1.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM +118); Phillies OVER 2.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -125)
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Best Bets and Predictions
When Paul Skenes in on the mound, you can BET that I am going to look at taking the UNDER F3 on the team he is facing. Skenes has allowed just 4 runs in 27 starts the first time through the batter order. Those are incredible numbers that you have to continue to ride.
The Red Sox lineup is much stronger at home and they could easily have a left-handed bat find a solo shot in the first three innings. But they have never faced Skenes and I will lean on that for this matchup.
Best Bet: Red Sox UNDER 0.5 runs F3 for 1 unit (DraftKings +115)
Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros Best Bets and Prediction
Friday night's matchup in Houston between the Angels and Astros has Cristian Javier facing Tyler Anderson. Javier has pitched just 10 innings in 3 starts with a 5.40 ERA and 1.50 WHIP since returning from Tommy John surgery. Anderson has allowed 2.9 HR/9 over his last 8 starts with a 6.13 ERA and 1.54 WHIP. I see lots of runs early and often in this one as both lineups have done well against left-handed pitching.
Best Bet: Angels/Astros OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (ESPN Bet -115)
MLB Best Bets
- Phillies -1.5 runs for 1 unit (BetMGM +118)
- Phillies OVER 2.5 runs F5 for 1 unit (DraftKings -125)
- Red Sox UNDER 0.5 runs F3 for 1 unit (DraftKings +115)
- Angels/Astros OVER 8.5 runs for 1 unit (ESPN Bet -115)
