This article is part of our MLB Picks series.
Previous article 3-1 +1.55
Overall 81-61-1 +9.67
Cincinnati Reds 
at Cleveland Indians 
6:10 PM ET
The Reds have the best offense in baseball over the last 30 days with a .357 wOBA and lead in several other key categories. They are 13-7 over their last 20 with a 12-5-3 record towards the over in which they have scored at least 6 runs in 13 of those games.
They do see a negative park shift in this matchup but they gain the designated hitter. Hentges has a 10.73 ERA over his last 7 starts with 21 strikeouts and 19 walks. More of the same for this Big Red Machine tonight.
Castillo has found his mojo over his last 11 starts with 75 strikeouts, 1.95 ERA, 1.15 WHIP. He has only had 1 start with fewer than 6 strikeouts. The Indians have a 26.3% strikeout rate vs. right-handed pitchers over the last 30 days which is 2nd worst in baseball.
BET – Reds over 5.5 runs for 1 RW buck
BET – Castillo over 6.5 strikeouts (-115 DraftKings) for 1 RW buck
New York Yankees 
at Kansas City Royals 
8:10 PM ET
Jameson Taillon vs. Carlos Hernandez
The Royals are 8-15-1 to the under when home underdogs and the Yankees are 16-24 to the under as road favorites. The Yankees are 2-8 to the under in their last 10 overall with most of the games having a 9.5 – 10.5 total. The Royals are 2-7-1 to the under in their last 10. I think we have a clear case of misperception on the Yankees. They made trades for big bats, but the results are showing that both teams have been heavy unders.
BET – Under 10 runs for 1 RW buck
