2025 Stats
AVG
.249
HR
16
RBI
63
R
84
SB
20
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Last spring, Red Sox manager Alex Cora stated that Rafaela would make the Opening Day roster only if he earned an everyday job in the outfield. Injuries to multiple infielders softened Cora's stance, and then Rafaela's .896 OPS in the spring made the decision easy. Rafaela ended up missing only 10 games, seven in September. He doesn't hit the ball hard, and his plate discipline is poor. However, Rafaela is just 24 years old and plays Gold Glove-level defense in center field while being able to fill in as a middle infielder. Rafaela's athleticism buys him time to improve on a 31st percentile hard-hit rate, 46th percentile barrel rate and 26.4 percent strikeout rate. The hand-eye coordination possessed by elite defenders often translates to the batter's box. Rafaela has the physical tools and opportunity, and now it's up to him to translate them to better quality of contact. Read Past Outlooks
Focusing on CF, adding strength
Red Sox manager Alex Cora said Wednesday that he would like to keep Rafaela in center field "as long as possible" next season, Foul Territory TV reports.
ANALYSIS
Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow said something similar last offseason, and while Rafaela made 129 starts in center field in 2025, he was also needed for 19 starts at second base. Rafaela posted a .752 OPS with 14 home runs and an 18.8 percent strikeout rate through the end of July but had just a .622 OPS with two homers and a 22.2 percent strikeout rate between August and September. Cora attributed Rafaela's late-season struggles to the 25-year-old wearing down, and the team has tasked Rafaela with getting "bigger and stronger" this offseason so he won't become fatigued as easily.
Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow said something similar last offseason, and while Rafaela made 129 starts in center field in 2025, he was also needed for 19 starts at second base. Rafaela posted a .752 OPS with 14 home runs and an 18.8 percent strikeout rate through the end of July but had just a .622 OPS with two homers and a 22.2 percent strikeout rate between August and September. Cora attributed Rafaela's late-season struggles to the 25-year-old wearing down, and the team has tasked Rafaela with getting "bigger and stronger" this offseason so he won't become fatigued as easily.
Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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11
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27
52
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+6%
OPS vs RHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .642 | 342 | 11 | 36 | .214 | ||||
| Since 2023vs Right | .701 | 905 | 22 | 107 | .260 | ||||
| 2025vs Left | .679 | 163 | 7 | 22 | .220 | ||||
| 2025vs Right | .720 | 424 | 9 | 41 | .260 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .603 | 152 | 3 | 11 | .211 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .685 | 419 | 12 | 64 | .259 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .645 | 27 | 1 | 3 | .192 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .675 | 62 | 1 | 2 | .263 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
| Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+10%
OPS at Home
2025
+15%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .718 | 613 | 17 | 70 | .257 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | .653 | 634 | 16 | 73 | .238 | ||||
| 2025Home | .759 | 281 | 9 | 34 | .266 | ||||
| 2025Away | .662 | 306 | 7 | 29 | .233 | ||||
| 2024Home | .661 | 286 | 6 | 32 | .247 | ||||
| 2024Away | .667 | 285 | 9 | 43 | .245 | ||||
| 2023Home | .838 | 46 | 2 | 4 | .268 | ||||
| 2023Away | .494 | 43 | 0 | 1 | .214 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Ceddanne Rafaela compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.24BB Rate
4.8%K Rate
19.9%BABIP
.289ISO
.165AVG
.249OBP
.295SLG
.414OPS
.708wOBA
.310Exit Velocity
88.3 mphHard Hit Rate
30.2%Barrels/PA
6.8%Expected BA
.246Expected SLG
.408Sprint Speed
24.7 ft/secGround Ball %
42.8%Line Drive %
17.2%Fly Ball %
40.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Rafaela is such a good athlete that he is a plus defensive center fielder who can also hold his own at shortstop and second base. He stole 39 bases in 136 games across Double-A, Triple-A and the majors and used his elite bat speed to launch 22 home runs in his age-22 season, despite a 5-foot-9 frame. His .319/.373/.579 slash line with a 20.2 K% and 5.9 BB% over his final 82 games in the minors last season earned him his first call to the majors. From a raw tools standpoint, he's a clear big leaguer. However, his hit tool needs refinement. He had a 38.8 Chase% and a 72.1 Contact%, leading to a 31.5 K% and 4.5 BB% in the majors. Working the count will never be Rafaela's strength, but he could eventually follow a path similar to Tim Anderson or Michael Harris, where he's not walking much but is doing enough damage and making enough contact to still be an above-average hitter. It's not clear how quickly that part of his game will advance from here, but his defensive chops will make him a priority addition to the big-league lineup once Boston thinks his bat is ready.
More Fantasy News
Walks off Tigers
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with a triple and one RBI in Friday's 4-3 victory over Detroit.
ANALYSIS
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Tallies four hits in win
Rafaela went 4-for-5 with a double, one RBI and two runs scored in Friday's 11-7 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Second-half struggles continue
Rafaela went 1-for-4 with two strikeouts in Saturday's 5-3 loss to the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Receiving rare day off
Rafaela is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Big night in win
Rafaela went 2-for-4 with a home run, four RBI and two additional runs scored in Tuesday's 11-7 win over the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Shortlisted for Gold Glove
Rafaela is one of three center fielders nominated to win the 2025 Gold Glove Award in the American League, according to MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Rafaela is widely considered to be one of the best center fielders in MLB, so it's not surprising to see him being shortlisted for the Gold Glove. The other finalists for the Gold Glove in center field are Kyle Isbel and Julio Rodriguez. Rafaela had a breakout season on offense, hitting 16 homers and stealing 20 bases with a .709 OPS over 156 regular-season games, but where he really shines is with his glove. His fielding run value of plus-22 was the best mark in the American League and second in all of baseball.
Rafaela is widely considered to be one of the best center fielders in MLB, so it's not surprising to see him being shortlisted for the Gold Glove. The other finalists for the Gold Glove in center field are Kyle Isbel and Julio Rodriguez. Rafaela had a breakout season on offense, hitting 16 homers and stealing 20 bases with a .709 OPS over 156 regular-season games, but where he really shines is with his glove. His fielding run value of plus-22 was the best mark in the American League and second in all of baseball.


